Highlights from the UK Office of Budget Responsibility during the Autumn Budget Statement 22 November 2017
GDP
- 2017 1.5% vs 2.2% prior
- 2018 1.4% vs 1.6% prior
- 2019 1.3% vs 1.9% prior
- 2020 1.3% vs 1.9% prior
- 2021 1.55 vs 2.0% prior
Budget deficit
- 2019/20 1.6% of GDP vs 1.0% prior
- 2020/21 1.5% vs 0.9% prior
- 2021/22 1.35 vs 0.7% prior
PSNB (cyclically adjusted)
- 2020/21 1.3% of GDP vs 2.0% target. Prior forecast 0.9%
PSND (CA)
- 2017/18 debt to GDP to peak at 86.5% of GDP
GBPUSD has now dropped as Gilt yields drop. The forecasts look to be at the worse end of expectations.
I’ll keep subsequent comments from Hammond on the prior post.
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