November 2017 forecasts from the OECD
- 2018 unchanged at 3.7% from Sep
- US 2017 2.2% vs 2.1% prior. 2018 2.1% vs 1.9% prior
- Eurozone 2017 2.4% vs 2.1% prior. 2018 2.1% vs 1.9% prior
- UK 2017 1.5% v s1.6% prior. 2018 1.2% v s1.0% prior
- Japan 2017 1.5% vs 1.6% prior. 2018 1.2% unch
- China 2017 6.8% unch. 2018 6.6% unch
Highlights;
- BOJ will need to rethink mon pol if inflation target is not met for a prolonged time
- BOJ could become an even more predominant holder of gov debt and compromise financial stability
- ECB should wait until 2020 before raising key interest rate
A bullish jump in the OECD’s forecasts in the main.
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