The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 30 January 2018
- JPY -115k vs -123k prior
- EUR +149k vs +145k prior
- GBP +32k vs +33k prior
- AUD +13k vs +17k prior
- NZD +4k vs -1k prior
- CAD +33k vs +23k prior
- CHF -20k vs -22k prior
- BTC -2139 vs -1746 prior
EUR longs have been creaming this one since May 2017, and they’ve bagged another jump in the price.
JPY shorts might be starting to feel the heat but if we hold a close today above 110, they’ll feel more comfortable.
Bitcoin futures shorts have been in the money from the get go and they bagged the top. Remember though, that these are net positions, and there’s 2703 actual longs feeling some pain vs 4842 shorts.
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Whenever positioning flips, traders more often than not get caught the wrong side the following week.
The recent changes in AUD were a good example.
NZD longs from Tuesday would have been a decent pick ……Clean undergarments needed if holding Kiwi longs into next week 🙂