Celebrate the taper by taking part in our NFP competition
As the Fed heads towards the QE exit door, while passing the buck back to data watching for the next 6 months, why not get ready for trading that by joining our trading community for free? You can do just that by taking part in our Non-farm payrolls competition, where...
Canada and CAD are the least important aspects of today’s Bank of Canada meeting
Today's BOC meeting may have far greater consequences than just what affects Canada Obviously not dismissing the trading impact of the BOC on CAD, or Canada in general but that may not be the big news. There's many folks thinking that the BOC will try and rein in...
The grand central bank rate hike experiment
Markets are getting all bullish over rate hikes As I write this, the market is pricing in a 15bp hike at the Nov BOE MPC meeting, and see rates at 1.00% by Aug 2022. The ECB is pricing a 10bp hike by Sep 2022, up from Dec and as for the Fed, we're looking at Q2/3 for...
Come and have a go at our Taper-tastic US Non-Farm Payrolls competition
Put some gas in your trading tank by joining one of the biggest and best online trading communities! With the Fed now on the road to a taper do the the jobs numbers even matter anymore? Of course they do. Irrespective of whether the Fed die is cast, these numbers will...
Trading the FOMC is all about the ranges
Trading the Fed FOMC today is all about whether any news sets us up for a test of any of the well worn ranges The window for Powell making excuses to not taper, or announce a taper is growing smaller and so price reaction risk is growing. The longer he leaves a taper...
Have you got what it takes to guess the US Non-farm payrolls number?
Jobs, jobs, jobs. That's what Fed's Powell has told us is now (still) important so get ready for Friday's NFP With summer drawing to a close and volatility likely to rise into the end of the year as central banks squirm under less than transitory inflation and floods...
A super special NFP competition
Celebrating the joining of two forces It's been a while but as it's a special occasion it's time to resurrect the famous US non-farm payrolls competition. As you know, ForexFlow and Forex Analytix have merged our two services to offer a complete suite of trading...
The big trading question is not ‘when’ the Fed will taper but ‘how’?
Market in a tizzy over taper There shouldn't be many people in the market now who don't think a taper is coming. It's been talked about so much, there's next to no expectation left of it happening. Yes, everyone is still throwing darts at the calendar trying to guess...
The bond moves explained and what it means for FX
The simple answer is often the best answer We've been scratching our heads a bit in our trading room over the bond moves (and others) in recent days. Is it falling Central bank expectations, or fearing a top in inflation, problems over the next US stimulus package etc...
A big song and dance over US inflation
Trading preview of the US CPI data today Both CPI and Core CPI are expected to jump again. CPI is expected at 4.7% vs 4.2% pr y/y. Core 3.4% exp vs 3.0% pr y/y. Here's what a lot of the eyeballs are on. Obviously energy inflation is a big part of any inflation data...
GBP faces a test from UK elections and is a BOE taper on the cards?
It could be a choppy time for GBP this week The latter part of this week could bring some waves for GBP, as we have several events coming on Thursday. 1 - Scottish Elections Potentially the biggest event of the lot. The ruling SNP party will want to win a majority...
Dollar and the three bears
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) - 4X Global Research The US Dollar Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) traded in a narrow range of 1.8% between late-2020 and early March, according to our estimates. The Dollar then embarked on a 3-4 week rally,...
Fed preview – Shock and awe, or Spock and snore?
The market is going dotty over the Fed The only question today (again) is whether Powell is going to stick to the script or jawbone on rates. Given his recent comments, the logical conclusion (that's the Spock reference BTW) should be that he sticks to his old lines...
The simple market explainer
Are you struggling to understand the market moves and the explanations for them? If you are, ForexFlow will give you all the explanation you need Not every trader is an economics or finance expert (not many "experts" in this game are actually experts at all but that's...
RIP WallStreetBets:
Is it all over before it really started? FWIW I think this whole saga has been brilliant but they're now becoming victims of their own success. WSB has become pedestalled by a clueless press and infiltrated and bastardised beyond recognition by the very people they...
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