Kyle Bass and the HKD story
Hong Kong is a hot topic at the moment but it's not just geopolitical plays being made. Here we look into what's going on on the trading side We don't need to lay out in detail what's been happening on the policitcal side of Hong Kong right now but the market effect...
Here’s how the ForexFlow traders get ready to trade today’s US NFP
One of our jobs in the ForexFlow platform is to dissect big data points in readiness to trade them, so here's a snippet from the room for today's US jobs report We follow the K.I.S.S (Keep It Simple Stupid) strategy often at ForexFlow, and as well as providing plenty...
GUESS WHAT’S BACK???
The ForexFlow NFP competition is back for a US Independence day special!! I didn't realise it but it's been exactly a year since the last NFP compo, so it's about time we brought it back. To make up for lost time, there's going to be an opportunity for two lucky...
USD out of favour or a virus reversal?
Lots of discussion in our trading room today on what's driving the USD weakness Some analysts have tied it to the riots in the US but if that were so, and money was exiting the US, we'd be seeing an exit from US stocks and bonds too, irrespective of Fed action....
Will things calm down after the end of month volatility? Don’t bet on it.
After some wild end of month moves, the market has gone back to trading the virus...the renewed US/China spat.... oil....and everything else. Here's what pairs and moves we're looking for this week at ForexFlow https://youtu.be/l7S-Mpz1Ca4
How much real FX liquidity is currently missing from the market?
FX volatility is still with us as liquidity drops due to the virus but what's driving the lower rate of business? This is something we've been talking about in our trading room today. When we talk about FX markets, most of our focus is on large banks and institutions...
How might Central banks enact FX intervention?
With rising talk about direct Forex intervention, what might central banks do? We like to be ahead of the game at ForexFlow, hence the warning about an increase in intervention talk 30 mins before two CB's started talking about intervention ? But, how might that...
What we’ve got here is an abject lesson in fear trading
These markets aren't trading rationally. If you don't adapt, you'll pay the price Let's start by looking at some numbers. Globally, 1 in 3 people get flu each year, in most cases, it's mild and people don't even know they've got...
Banxico preview – What to look for in tonight’s decision
Banco De Mexico is expected to cut rates by 25bps to 7.0%. Here's a preview from our South & Central American expert Jorge The majority of analysts believe the estimates for inflation will allow BANXICO to continue with decreases in the reference interest rate, in...
Trading idea for a large AUDUSD expiry looks out of reach for now
We at ForexFlow were on watch for a possible trade on a large option expiry A 2.12bn expiry at 0.6700 in AUDUSD caught our trading interest today, mainly because of its unusual make up. It's only been put on since late Jan and has the signs that it's possibly just one...
*Updated 26/02/2020* What are the true economic effects of Coronavirus going to be?
There's lots of generalised chatter on the economic effects of the virus so let's try to put them all together and into a trading perspective *This post has been updated at the bottom. Firstly, let's remember the human implications of this. People are dying and all...
Trading preview – BOE rate decision on a knife edge
One of the most finely balanced rate announcements in a long time There's something to be said for the BOE voting system, it gives us a bit of excitement. However, the market is very split on this one. Rate odds split - 51/49% cut/hold. We're split in the room. Banks...
My GBPUSD long trade was all wrapped for Christmas – Here’s what’s coming in 2020
My long trade from September ended over the holdiday period As we enter 2020 I wanted to update you on my GBPUSD long trade undertaken back in September. This was a trade looking to capture a Brexit deal finally passing UK Parliament, but as usual with the UK, it...
Let’s be clear, the weakness in GBP isn’t all down to renewed Brexit fears
What's really continuing to drive the pound lower? The main reason why GBPUSD has dropped so swiftly is because it's spent the last 4 months rallying over 1500 pips without so much as a blink. That's a big move in a short space of time without any decent refresh....
Livetrading update: GBP on the blink as the election euphoria wears off
Pound takes a knock as Brexit looms large once again As we've explained many times before, hard and fast rallies can reverse just as hard and fast, if they're not built on strong foundations. Right after the elections, we said if it crumbles, the low 1.32's could be...
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