Will things calm down after the end of month volatility? Don’t bet on it.
After some wild end of month moves, the market has gone back to trading the virus...the renewed US/China spat.... oil....and everything else. Here's what pairs and moves we're looking for this week at ForexFlow https://youtu.be/l7S-Mpz1Ca4
How much real FX liquidity is currently missing from the market?
FX volatility is still with us as liquidity drops due to the virus but what's driving the lower rate of business? This is something we've been talking about in our trading room today. When we talk about FX markets, most of our focus is on large banks and institutions...
How might Central banks enact FX intervention?
With rising talk about direct Forex intervention, what might central banks do? We like to be ahead of the game at ForexFlow, hence the warning about an increase in intervention talk 30 mins before two CB's started talking about intervention ? But, how might that...
What we’ve got here is an abject lesson in fear trading
These markets aren't trading rationally. If you don't adapt, you'll pay the price Let's start by looking at some numbers. Globally, 1 in 3 people get flu each year, in most cases, it's mild and people don't even know they've got...
Banxico preview – What to look for in tonight’s decision
Banco De Mexico is expected to cut rates by 25bps to 7.0%. Here's a preview from our South & Central American expert Jorge The majority of analysts believe the estimates for inflation will allow BANXICO to continue with decreases in the reference interest rate, in...
Trading idea for a large AUDUSD expiry looks out of reach for now
We at ForexFlow were on watch for a possible trade on a large option expiry A 2.12bn expiry at 0.6700 in AUDUSD caught our trading interest today, mainly because of its unusual make up. It's only been put on since late Jan and has the signs that it's possibly just one...
*Updated 26/02/2020* What are the true economic effects of Coronavirus going to be?
There's lots of generalised chatter on the economic effects of the virus so let's try to put them all together and into a trading perspective *This post has been updated at the bottom. Firstly, let's remember the human implications of this. People are dying and all...
Trading preview – BOE rate decision on a knife edge
One of the most finely balanced rate announcements in a long time There's something to be said for the BOE voting system, it gives us a bit of excitement. However, the market is very split on this one. Rate odds split - 51/49% cut/hold. We're split in the room. Banks...
My GBPUSD long trade was all wrapped for Christmas – Here’s what’s coming in 2020
My long trade from September ended over the holdiday period As we enter 2020 I wanted to update you on my GBPUSD long trade undertaken back in September. This was a trade looking to capture a Brexit deal finally passing UK Parliament, but as usual with the UK, it...
Let’s be clear, the weakness in GBP isn’t all down to renewed Brexit fears
What's really continuing to drive the pound lower? The main reason why GBPUSD has dropped so swiftly is because it's spent the last 4 months rallying over 1500 pips without so much as a blink. That's a big move in a short space of time without any decent refresh....
Livetrading update: GBP on the blink as the election euphoria wears off
Pound takes a knock as Brexit looms large once again As we've explained many times before, hard and fast rallies can reverse just as hard and fast, if they're not built on strong foundations. Right after the elections, we said if it crumbles, the low 1.32's could be...
Your simple guide to the UK election
Here's the easy way to trade the election While the rest of the world try to bamboozle and confuse you with paragraphs of pointless details, drivel and analysis, throwing up maps and lists of seats and what might happen, we at ForexFlow like to take the simple...
A warning for the UK MRP poll everyone is becoming fixated about
GBP traders are zeroing in on the YouGov/Times MRP poll coming tonight. Here's why caution is needed. So, the next big bone to chew for GBP traders is apparently an opinion poll. Why's this one so special? Well, apparently it "predicted" the 2017 election. Let's...
Trading the options action in EURUSD: Part 4 – Profit taken, rinse and repeat?
We've closed the door on our EURUSD strategy with good profit but are we good to go again? If you've been following this EURUSD trade mini-series, you'll know that we've been plotting and planning a trade around an options startegy in play in the wider market. This...
A mildly positive risk market on the open?
The weekend press headlines. Good Sunday evening, Monday morning fellow FX traders. -Give an take a bit of political banter, it seems the weekend got a little better as it progressed from China's political banter at the WTO yesterday into tighter IP protection rules...
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