Shape of Recovery: Square Root & Hockey Stick

Shape of Recovery: Square Root & Hockey Stick

Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from 4X Global Research While GDP data for Q1 are now “old” and seemingly of limited use, it makes little sense to forecast global growth in Q2 and beyond without at least knowing the starting point. We estimate,...
Can you feel the shifting winds in markets?

Can you feel the shifting winds in markets?

Since the US & China kiss-and-make up at the G20, things have shifted in markets On Monday we highlighted a potential problem brewing for markets following the upbeat feelings from the G20. FX and stocks were cheering but the bond market wasn’t. Bond yields...
Shape of Recovery: Square Root & Hockey Stick

One extreme to another: A price worth paying?

Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from Olivier Desbarres at 4X Global Research Developed and emerging market central banks have started to “normalise” monetary policy, albeit at a slow pace. However, they have been largely powerless to deal with the...

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