It’s Fed’s meditation time

It’s Fed’s meditation time

Short, sweet FOMC preview 18.09.2019. What do we expect from today’s meeting: 25bps cut done. No immediate QE but leaving the door open. IOER cut: depending on where the Fed puts it between the Fed funds posts will be our barometer for their worries. the closer...
Is the ECB stealth hiking or not?

Is the ECB stealth hiking or not?

The Reuters ECB story has sparked a big discussion in our trading room As per the earlier report, the ECB are apparently looking to tier the deposit rate, effectively giving cashback to banks. That’s got EU banking shares up as it means a boost to profits, and...
The market is ramping up the Fed cut expectations

The market is ramping up the Fed cut expectations

Keeping rates unchanged for 2019 was the call right after the FOMC but those odds have crumbled Right after the Fed, the interest rate probabilities still favoured rates remaining unchanged through 2019. Now those odds have changed to favour a cut (or even cuts). A...
FOMC leaves monetary policy unchanged.

FOMC leaves monetary policy unchanged.

Federal reserve interest rate decision 30.01.2019 Removes the reference to “further gradual ” interest rates increases. Also prepared to adjust balance sheet normalisation. Holds rates, pledges patience on future moves. To continue with current floor...

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