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A view on EURUSD ahead of the first ECB meeting in 2019
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Here’s 5 easy ways to improve your trading
Do you want to raise your trading A-game? Trading is tough. Every trade a retail trader takes is a leap of faith. It’s a leap of faith as to whether a technical level holds or whether the price goes in our favour. It’s a leap of faith whether you’ve been trading 3...
Action or inaction? It all amounts to the same thing
Why central banks can't stop the EM rot TRY is getting trounced because of the situation with the US, and further due to a lack of action from the Turkish central bank. ARS has been getting trounced for longer and today its central bank raised rates to 45%, to be held...
The Warriors guide to trading
Miyamoto Musashi's 'The Book of Five Rings' on strategy of Japanese swordplay is one of the best books on trading I've ever read While on my break, I did a lot of reading and when searching for some books I came across this one, 'The Book of Five Rings' by Miyamoto...
Latest Posts
Go With The Flow 23 January 2019
Another day where patience will be key Every day in trading we have a duty to practice our discipline. In the case of the current day to day market volatility, practicing patients is the order of the day. I had a decent day jobbing cable yesterday but all the while I...
UK labour market employment jumps in December 2018
December 2018 UK labour market report and public sector finances 22 January 2019 Dec claimant count December 2018 20.8k vs 20.0k exp. Prior 21.9k Nov ILO unemployment rate 4.0% vs 4.1% exp/prior Average weekly earnings 3.4% vs 3.3% exp 3m y/y. Prior 3.3% Ex bonus 3.3%...
Go With The Flow 22 January 2019
Trade ideas for Tuesday 22nd January 2019 What a dull day yesterday eh? Once again, Asia seems to be where all the action is. Not much to report on the trading front. I took a short in cable on yesterday's test of 1.2900 and chopped half at 1.2875 overnight. I'm...
Go With The Flow 21 January 2019
Welcome to the new week Good morning to you all from a cold and icy London. So far, the best trade looks to be leaving the heating on all day. More Brexit mayhem possible today as May has to present what she's going to do next with her Brexit plan. That presentation...
Latest Flow Data
UK labour market employment jumps in December 2018
December 2018 UK labour market report and public sector finances 22 January 2019 Dec claimant count December 2018 20.8k vs 20.0k exp. Prior 21.9k Nov ILO unemployment rate 4.0% vs 4.1% exp/prior Average weekly earnings 3.4% vs 3.3% exp 3m y/y. Prior 3.3% Ex bonus 3.3%...
UK December 2018 CPI drops but the core ticks up
December 2018 UK CPI, PPI and RPI inflation data 16 January 2019 CPI December 2018 2.1% vs 2.1% exp y/y. Prior 2.3% 0.2% vs 0.2% exp/prior m/m Core 1.9% vs 1.8% exp/prior y/y 0.3% vs 0.3% exp/prior m/m RPI 0.4% vs 0.5% exp m/m. Prior 0.0% 2.7% vs 2.95%exp y/y. Prior...
US CPI confirmed lower in December 2018 but the core holds and wages rise
December 2018 US CPI inflation data 11 January 2019 CPI 1.9% vs 1.9% exp y/y. Prior 2.2% -0.1% vs -0.1% exp m/m. Prior 0.0% Core 2.2% vs 2.2% exp/prior y/y 0.2% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior 0.2% Real average weekly earnings 0.7% vs 0.3% exp m/m. Prior -0.1% 1.2% vs 1.2%...
UK industrial production softer but GDP is up in November 2018
November 2018 UK industrial and manufacturing production, GDP and trade balance data 11 January 2019 Industrial production -0.4% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior -0.6% -1.5% vs -0.7% exp y/y. Prior -0.8% Manufacturing production -0.3% vs 0.3% exp m/m. Prior -0.9% -1.1% vs -0.7%...
Latest Flow Cryptocurrencies
CFTC Forex Futures report – No towel throwing from USD bulls into the FOMC
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 18 December 2018 JPY -103k vs -98k prior EUR -53k vs -56k prior GBP -60k vs -42k prior AUD -35k vs -46k prior NZD +3k vs -15k prior CAD -7k vs -12k prior CHF -23k vs -18k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures – EUR and JPY shorts build while GBP shorts get cut
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 27 November 2018 JPY -104k vs -100k prior EUR -55k vs -47k prior GBP -39k vs -43k prior AUD -54k vs -59k prior NZD -21k vs -19k prior CAD -9k vs -6k prior CHF -21k vs -20k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report – EUR shorts add 10k – BTC shorts hit paydirt
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 20 November 2018 JPY -100k vs -102k prior EUR -47k vs -37k prior GBP -43k vs -47k prior AUD -59k vs -60k prior NZD -19k vs -21k prior CAD -6k vs -3k prior CHF -20k vs -19k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report: JPY shorts jump but USD longs loosen elsewhere
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 13 November 2018 JPY -102k vs -89k prior EUR -37k vs -47k prior GBP -47k vs -57k prior AUD -60k vs -66k prior NZD -21k vs -26k prior CAD -3k vs -3k prior CHF -19k vs -20k prior BTC...
Latest Flow Technical Analysis
Can ECB’s Draghi kick EURUSD out of its box this week?
Let's look at EURUSD ahead of Thursday's ECB meeting EURUSD showed a willingness to break the long-standing range but the move didn't last long. Will we see another attempt or will Draghi turn on his dovish charm leading to a move lower? We also have a quick catch up...
USDJPY is still hovering around the key 108 level
USDJPY forex technical analysis update 14 January 2019 USDJPY is mooching around the 108 level once again. It's just held one test but the price action is looking very weak in the bounces. Here I take an in depth look at the pair with the folks at Core TV on behalf of...
Here’s how to identify possible breaks and then how to trade them
This post explains some tried and tested methods for trading breaks Watching the price action is very important because it helps us understand what the market is doing. Here’s two methods for watching, identifying and trading around a possible break. Method 1 –...
Go With The Flow 10 January 2019
Thinking caps on people, it's time to pump those trades An interesting day yesterday. We had some top class trading in the room yesterday. There had been a growing feeling of EURUSD busting 1.1500 and some of us went with a break entry, while other traders assessed...
Latest Flow Orders & Options
Forex options expiries 22 January 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 22 January 2019 Don't be looking here for any inspiration 😉
Forex options expiries 21 January 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 21 January 2019 Not much to go on today and the big ones are topside in EURUSD.
Forex orders – #China data wears thin on AUDUSD as topside offers hold
Forex orders for AUDUSD 21 January 2019 China's raft of data largely came in as expected and the fact it wasn't worse was some relief to markets. AUD saw a small bounce but offers into 0.7180 held. Despite the two spikes last week, 0.7200 continues to remain a levels...
Forex options expiries 18 January 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 18 January 2019 Some doozies on the board today, with even EURJPY getting in on the act. The collection in EURUSD could be one reason why the price is glued around 1.1400.
Latest Flow Video
Can ECB’s Draghi kick EURUSD out of its box this week?
Let's look at EURUSD ahead of Thursday's ECB meeting EURUSD showed a willingness to break the long-standing range but the move didn't last long. Will we see another attempt or will Draghi turn on his dovish charm leading to a move lower? We also have a quick catch up...
USDJPY is still hovering around the key 108 level
USDJPY forex technical analysis update 14 January 2019 USDJPY is mooching around the 108 level once again. It's just held one test but the price action is looking very weak in the bounces. Here I take an in depth look at the pair with the folks at Core TV on behalf of...
How has USDJPY trading developed since the flash crash?
Today we take a look at how USDJPY has developed since the flash crash Last week we looked at how USDJPY was going to shape up in the aftermath of the Flash crash, and this week we see how things have developed since then. In today's video we look at how the 108.00...
How to trade USDJPY after the flash crash
A quick video on how we look for the levels to develop after a big move Following the huge moves late yesterday, here's a quick insight into how we let the price action define the new trading range. https://youtu.be/IiHL2phL7lI
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