Flow Live News Stream
Live running trading news and analysis.
Don’t miss
Here’s 5 easy ways to improve your trading
Do you want to raise your trading A-game? Trading is tough. Every trade a retail trader takes is a leap of faith. It’s a leap of faith as to whether a technical level holds or whether the price goes in our favour. It’s a leap of faith whether you’ve been trading 3...
Action or inaction? It all amounts to the same thing
Why central banks can't stop the EM rot TRY is getting trounced because of the situation with the US, and further due to a lack of action from the Turkish central bank. ARS has been getting trounced for longer and today its central bank raised rates to 45%, to be held...
The Warriors guide to trading
Miyamoto Musashi's 'The Book of Five Rings' on strategy of Japanese swordplay is one of the best books on trading I've ever read While on my break, I did a lot of reading and when searching for some books I came across this one, 'The Book of Five Rings' by Miyamoto...
Latest Posts
This week has been a good week for break trading
When markets are stuck in tight ranges, we must always be planning for the breaks For many weeks we've seen pairs stuck in boring tight ranges, unclear direction and an unwillingness to push the boundaries but this week has been different. We've seen many breaks of...
Are you one of the 80% of retail traders who regularly lose money?
A big influx of inexperienced traders has entered the market and it looks like they're not doing well There's been a couple of stories out in the press highlighting tough times for retail traders. The Times writes that losses have jumped, noting that 80.5% of traders...
How to trade the EU Summit
This weekend's EU Summit is going to be dangerous for trading because markets will be closed and any big news will likely see price gaps on the Sunday night open. Here's our brief of how best to trade it Two big ticket items up for discussion - EU rescue fund & EU...
Kyle Bass and the HKD story
Hong Kong is a hot topic at the moment but it's not just geopolitical plays being made. Here we look into what's going on on the trading side We don't need to lay out in detail what's been happening on the policitcal side of Hong Kong right now but the market effect...
Latest Flow Data
$CNH living on hopium? Big week for the Yuan this.
An outlook on the CNH drivers. #US- #China Phase One to be signed. Reinstatement of semi annual talks with China (outside trade talks), which Trump abolished earlier during his tenure. Expectations for China trade balance to rebound in Dec (out tomorrow). Expectations...
A mildly positive risk market on the open?
The weekend press headlines. Good Sunday evening, Monday morning fellow FX traders. -Give an take a bit of political banter, it seems the weekend got a little better as it progressed from China's political banter at the WTO yesterday into tighter IP protection rules...
A huge USD week. This time it’s different, isn’t it?
Preview on what's to come for the mighty dollar. It's some block of data and decisions we're getting second half of this week. We start with GDP, core PCE followed by the FOMC rate decision and presser today. Tomorrow we're having another round of PCE, personal income...
The lean green salad NFP’s
US labour report preview 02.08.2019 What is supposed to be the main course of day could turn out to be nothing more than a small starter in the light of everything that's going around on trade and geopolitics in this world. But traders we are so we will be looking for...
Latest Flow Cryptocurrencies
CFTC Forex Futures report – No towel throwing from USD bulls into the FOMC
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 18 December 2018 JPY -103k vs -98k prior EUR -53k vs -56k prior GBP -60k vs -42k prior AUD -35k vs -46k prior NZD +3k vs -15k prior CAD -7k vs -12k prior CHF -23k vs -18k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures – EUR and JPY shorts build while GBP shorts get cut
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 27 November 2018 JPY -104k vs -100k prior EUR -55k vs -47k prior GBP -39k vs -43k prior AUD -54k vs -59k prior NZD -21k vs -19k prior CAD -9k vs -6k prior CHF -21k vs -20k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report – EUR shorts add 10k – BTC shorts hit paydirt
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 20 November 2018 JPY -100k vs -102k prior EUR -47k vs -37k prior GBP -43k vs -47k prior AUD -59k vs -60k prior NZD -19k vs -21k prior CAD -6k vs -3k prior CHF -20k vs -19k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report: JPY shorts jump but USD longs loosen elsewhere
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 13 November 2018 JPY -102k vs -89k prior EUR -37k vs -47k prior GBP -47k vs -57k prior AUD -60k vs -66k prior NZD -21k vs -26k prior CAD -3k vs -3k prior CHF -19k vs -20k prior BTC...
Latest Flow Technical Analysis
Trading EURUSD – Break or bounce?
EURUSD has hit the bottom of the 1.1200-1.1500 range, with a key area just below that could determine whether we bounce or go lower. Here's the levels and trades we're watching https://youtu.be/foSl39pkPf8
EURGBP continues to frustrate, while AUD could be an early contender for a virus recovery trade
Here's an update on the EURGBP trade I've been riding why long AUD could be a good trade going forward You can read further detailed analysis on the EURGBP trade here. https://youtu.be/cacx5Sn7HpQ
What’s next for EURGBP as it remains indecisive between 0.87 and 0.88?
EURGBP back in the zone after a walk on the wild side I've been short EURGBP since the run up to the 0.94's but we're hit a roadblock around 0.87. 0.88 was an area I looked at to take some partial profit on my shorts, and duly did in the first test back there in late...
What’s got into the Swissy then?
CHF in a world of its own? CHF buying has been steady and persistent all of 2019 really, and the latest selling into the end of 2019 and early this year goes against the general risk picture. While JPY pairs have bounced on the favourable risk picture, the swissy is...
Latest Flow Orders & Options
Trading idea for a large AUDUSD expiry looks out of reach for now
We at ForexFlow were on watch for a possible trade on a large option expiry A 2.12bn expiry at 0.6700 in AUDUSD caught our trading interest today, mainly because of its unusual make up. It's only been put on since late Jan and has the signs that it's possibly just one...
It’s a Friday frenzy in the Forex options expiries
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 20 December 2019 There's some very big expiries going off today, and plenty of them, so I've decided to list them in a full blog post rather than just the Live blog. USDNCH definitely has the most with over...
Livetrading update – Setting up a trade for big option plays in EURUSD
There's some big options strategies playing out in EURUSD between now and the end of the year These option plays are mainly in a very tight range and are bracketed by binary and barrier options, which has also created a ton of long gamma that needs to be managed by...
Forex options expiries 22 August 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 22 August 2019 It's hard to see EURUSD doing anything much while its surrounded by some decent expiries.
Latest Flow Video
A big week of gains for EURUSD into the end of July but can it be maintained?
EURUSD knocked down the big figures like targets at a fairground shooting gallery last week, so what happens now? Last Monday we were looking (and continuing) to trade the breaks. Following further breaks intot he end of the month of July, we now need to see if the...
USDJPY peeped out of its box but didn’t like what it saw
An updated view on USDJPY In last week's video we asked "What's it going to take to break USDJPY out of its box?". Well, it lifted the lid at 107 and swung one leg out but that didn't last. https://youtu.be/ZYrRE-Fo8m4
What’s it going to take to break USDJPY out of its box?
While USDJPY remains in tightly bound ranges, there's still plenty of opportunities to make money playing the range. In this video, we look at those ranges and where to set up for a potential break. https://youtu.be/UqLKFngBAD8
Trading EURUSD – Break or bounce?
EURUSD has hit the bottom of the 1.1200-1.1500 range, with a key area just below that could determine whether we bounce or go lower. Here's the levels and trades we're watching https://youtu.be/foSl39pkPf8
What is ForexFlow.live?
ForexFlow.live delivers relevant, breaking forex and other market news and analysis to traders of every experience. ForexFlow.live does it with style, effectiveness and more than a spoonful of fun. ForexFlow.live produces analysis, and deciphers the news and data in a way that cuts straight to the heart of trading, clearly, concisely and quickly. Most importantly, ForexFlow.live is run for traders, by traders. If you really want the fastest and best global trading views and opinions in the market, ForexFlow.live is all you need. Good luck with your trading.
