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Live coverage of ECB’s Mario Draghi following the Dec ECB meeting
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Announcing the ForexFlow Christmas traders meet up extravaganza
It's going to be party time in ForexFlow land This Friday 14th December you are all cordially invited to the ForexFlow Christmas drink up. We're returning to the venue of last year at The Porterhouse near London's Covent Garden. We'd love for you to join us so that we...
Action or inaction? It all amounts to the same thing
Why central banks can't stop the EM rot TRY is getting trounced because of the situation with the US, and further due to a lack of action from the Turkish central bank. ARS has been getting trounced for longer and today its central bank raised rates to 45%, to be held...
The Warriors guide to trading
Miyamoto Musashi's 'The Book of Five Rings' on strategy of Japanese swordplay is one of the best books on trading I've ever read While on my break, I did a lot of reading and when searching for some books I came across this one, 'The Book of Five Rings' by Miyamoto...
Latest Posts
US core retail sales come in strong in November 2018
November 2018 US retail sales data 14 December 2018 Retail sales 0.2% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior 0.8%. Revised to 1.1% Ex-autos 0.2% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior 0.7%. Revised to 1.0% Ex-gas/autos 0.5% vs vs 0.3% prior. Revised to 0.7% Control group 0.9% vs 0.4% exp m/m. Prior...
Eurozone Markit flash manufacturing and services PMI’s tumble in December 2018
December 2018 Eurozone Markit flash manufacturing and services PMI's 14 December 2018 Manufacturing 51.4 vs 51.9 exp. Prior 51.8 Services 51.4 vs 53.5 exp. Prior 53.4 Composite 51.3 vs 52.8 exp. Prior 52.7 Getting precariously close to the contraction level. It's all...
ECB’s historical QE program goes out with a whimper
Highlights of the ECB press conference following the December 2018 ECB governing council meeting 13 December 2018 Opening remarks; Incoming data were weaker than expected Weaker data reflects softer external demands Inflation will continue to converge after buying...
ECB leaves interest rates unchanged and confirms the end of QE
Details from the December 2018 ECB governing council meeting 13 December 2018 Main interest rate 0.0% Deposit rate -0.40% Marginal lending rate 0.25% Notes; Will reinvest for an extended period and passed a rate increase Expects rates to remain at their present levels...
Latest Flow Data
US core retail sales come in strong in November 2018
November 2018 US retail sales data 14 December 2018 Retail sales 0.2% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior 0.8%. Revised to 1.1% Ex-autos 0.2% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior 0.7%. Revised to 1.0% Ex-gas/autos 0.5% vs vs 0.3% prior. Revised to 0.7% Control group 0.9% vs 0.4% exp m/m. Prior...
Eurozone Markit flash manufacturing and services PMI’s tumble in December 2018
December 2018 Eurozone Markit flash manufacturing and services PMI's 14 December 2018 Manufacturing 51.4 vs 51.9 exp. Prior 51.8 Services 51.4 vs 53.5 exp. Prior 53.4 Composite 51.3 vs 52.8 exp. Prior 52.7 Getting precariously close to the contraction level. It's all...
US EIA weekly oil inventories draw less than expected w/e 7 December 2018
US weekly oil inventory data w/e 7 December 2018 Oil inventories -1.208m vs -3.500m exp. Prior -7.323m OPD -10.180m Cushing 1.148m vs 1.729m prior. OPD 0.642m Gasoline 2.087m vs 2.250m exp. Prior 1.699m. OPD -2.484m Distillates -1.475m vs 1.850m exp. Prior 3.811m. OPD...
US CPI in as expected in November 2018 but wages are softer
November 2018 US CPI inflation data 12 December 2018 CPI 2.2% vs 2.2% exp y/y. Prior 2.5% 0.0% vs 0.0% exp m/m. Prior 0.3% Core 2.2% vs 2.2% exp y/y. Prior 2.1% 0.2% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior 0.2% Real weekly earnings -0.1% vs 0.3% exp m/m. Prior 0.1% 0.5% vs 0.9% prior...
Latest Flow Cryptocurrencies
CFTC Forex Futures – EUR and JPY shorts build while GBP shorts get cut
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 27 November 2018 JPY -104k vs -100k prior EUR -55k vs -47k prior GBP -39k vs -43k prior AUD -54k vs -59k prior NZD -21k vs -19k prior CAD -9k vs -6k prior CHF -21k vs -20k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report – EUR shorts add 10k – BTC shorts hit paydirt
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 20 November 2018 JPY -100k vs -102k prior EUR -47k vs -37k prior GBP -43k vs -47k prior AUD -59k vs -60k prior NZD -19k vs -21k prior CAD -6k vs -3k prior CHF -20k vs -19k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report: JPY shorts jump but USD longs loosen elsewhere
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 13 November 2018 JPY -102k vs -89k prior EUR -37k vs -47k prior GBP -47k vs -57k prior AUD -60k vs -66k prior NZD -21k vs -26k prior CAD -3k vs -3k prior CHF -19k vs -20k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex futures report EUR & GBP shorts pick up while CAD shorts pack up
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 6 November 2018 JPY -89k vs -92k prior EUR -47k vs -33k prior GBP -57k vs -52k prior AUD -66k vs -70k prior NZD -26k vs -35k prior CAD -3k vs -10k prior CHF -20k vs -17k prior BTC...
Latest Flow Technical Analysis
Go with the Flow – Friday 14 December 2018
Here are today’s Trading views and Ideas for the day ahead. Let us know what you are looking at – Charts – Trade chatter – Trade positions. The Flow traders are available throughout the day to help out with your questions – Share trade set-ups and keep you updated...
Go with the Flow – Thursday 13 December 2018
Here are today’s Trading views and Ideas for the day ahead. Let us know what you are looking at – Charts – Trade chatter – Trade positions. The Flow traders are available throughout the day to help out with your questions – Share trade set-ups and keep you updated...
Go with the Flow – Wednesday 12 December 2018
Here are today’s Trading views and Ideas for the day ahead. Let us know what you are looking at – Charts – Trade chatter – Trade positions. The Flow traders are available throughout the day to help out with your questions – Share trade set-ups and keep you updated...
Go with the Flow – Tuesday 11 December 2018
Here are today’s Trading views and Ideas for the day ahead. Let us know what you are looking at – Charts – Trade chatter – Trade positions. The Flow traders are available throughout the day to help out with your questions – Share trade set-ups and keep you updated...
Latest Flow Orders & Options
Forex options expiries 14 December 2018
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 14 December 2018 EURUSD is currently sitting (1.1270) between the two big expiries today at 1.1250 & 1.1300. USDJPY has one at 113.70/80 (currently...
ECB leaves EURUSD in the middle of two large expiries
Forex option expiries for the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 13 December 2018 1.1290/1.1300 and 1.1350 hold the big one's in EURUSD...
1.1300 in EURUSD is the standout in today’s Forex options expiries 12 December 2018
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 12 December 2018 1.1300 has a big roll-off but we're a tad far away at 1.1353 (at time of post). For all the Brexit news, and what was the expected vote yesterday, we've not seen much in the way of options...
EURUSD pushes away from a large expiry and barriers pile up
Forex option expiries for the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 11 December 2018 The current move in EURUSD has pushed it below a big expiry at 1.1360/70 so we'll have to see if we get a reaction into the expiry. We've also got increased important barrier action in...
Latest Flow Video
Will the US/China rally last? It’s not looking so great now
The positivity from the G20 is already starting to ebb away From opening up nearly 500 pips last night in futures, the Dow is now slowly giving it all back as US stocks trade down to session lows. Bond markets are looking edgy with US 10's hovering around the 3.0%...
Trading USDCNH into the G20 meeting
A crunch point for my USDCNH shorts Since August, I've been shorting USDCNH in rallies towards the 7.0 level and offloading in the dips. With the G20 meeting coming up and a sideline meeting between Trump and China's Xi, I'm going to be looking to reduce my risk...
Here’s a trade for the big December central bank meetings
With two decisive central bank meetings in December I had a look at a potential trading strategy December is going to be a big month for two central banks particularly. The ECB is looking to end QE and the Fed is set to give us the fourth hike of 2018. In some...
Here’s why I’m starting to buy GBP over Brexit
It's time to get into GBP properly over Brexit I'm starting to buy the pound on a favourable Brexit outcome. Today I spoke to Nick Batsford at Core Finance TV about it. I'll be doing a full post analysing the trade soon but this will give you a brief outline of it....
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