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Here’s 5 easy ways to improve your trading
Do you want to raise your trading A-game? Trading is tough. Every trade a retail trader takes is a leap of faith. It’s a leap of faith as to whether a technical level holds or whether the price goes in our favour. It’s a leap of faith whether you’ve been trading 3...
Action or inaction? It all amounts to the same thing
Why central banks can't stop the EM rot TRY is getting trounced because of the situation with the US, and further due to a lack of action from the Turkish central bank. ARS has been getting trounced for longer and today its central bank raised rates to 45%, to be held...
The Warriors guide to trading
Miyamoto Musashi's 'The Book of Five Rings' on strategy of Japanese swordplay is one of the best books on trading I've ever read While on my break, I did a lot of reading and when searching for some books I came across this one, 'The Book of Five Rings' by Miyamoto...
Latest Posts
What we’ve got here is an abject lesson in fear trading
These markets aren't trading rationally. If you don't adapt, you'll pay the price Let's start by looking at some numbers. Globally, 1 in 3 people get flu each year, in most cases, it's mild and people don't even know they've got it. Then it scales up in terms of...
Banxico preview – What to look for in tonight’s decision
Banco De Mexico is expected to cut rates by 25bps to 7.0%. Here's a preview from our South & Central American expert Jorge The majority of analysts believe the estimates for inflation will allow BANXICO to continue with decreases in the reference interest rate, in...
Trading idea for a large AUDUSD expiry looks out of reach for now
We at ForexFlow were on watch for a possible trade on a large option expiry A 2.12bn expiry at 0.6700 in AUDUSD caught our trading interest today, mainly because of its unusual make up. It's only been put on since late Jan and has the signs that it's possibly just one...
*Updated 26/02/2020* What are the true economic effects of Coronavirus going to be?
There's lots of generalised chatter on the economic effects of the virus so let's try to put them all together and into a trading perspective *This post has been updated at the bottom. Firstly, let's remember the human implications of this. People are dying and all...
Latest Flow Data
$CNH living on hopium? Big week for the Yuan this.
An outlook on the CNH drivers. #US- #China Phase One to be signed. Reinstatement of semi annual talks with China (outside trade talks), which Trump abolished earlier during his tenure. Expectations for China trade balance to rebound in Dec (out tomorrow). Expectations...
A mildly positive risk market on the open?
The weekend press headlines. Good Sunday evening, Monday morning fellow FX traders. -Give an take a bit of political banter, it seems the weekend got a little better as it progressed from China's political banter at the WTO yesterday into tighter IP protection rules...
A huge USD week. This time it’s different, isn’t it?
Preview on what's to come for the mighty dollar. It's some block of data and decisions we're getting second half of this week. We start with GDP, core PCE followed by the FOMC rate decision and presser today. Tomorrow we're having another round of PCE, personal income...
The lean green salad NFP’s
US labour report preview 02.08.2019 What is supposed to be the main course of day could turn out to be nothing more than a small starter in the light of everything that's going around on trade and geopolitics in this world. But traders we are so we will be looking for...
Latest Flow Cryptocurrencies
CFTC Forex Futures report – No towel throwing from USD bulls into the FOMC
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 18 December 2018 JPY -103k vs -98k prior EUR -53k vs -56k prior GBP -60k vs -42k prior AUD -35k vs -46k prior NZD +3k vs -15k prior CAD -7k vs -12k prior CHF -23k vs -18k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures – EUR and JPY shorts build while GBP shorts get cut
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 27 November 2018 JPY -104k vs -100k prior EUR -55k vs -47k prior GBP -39k vs -43k prior AUD -54k vs -59k prior NZD -21k vs -19k prior CAD -9k vs -6k prior CHF -21k vs -20k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report – EUR shorts add 10k – BTC shorts hit paydirt
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 20 November 2018 JPY -100k vs -102k prior EUR -47k vs -37k prior GBP -43k vs -47k prior AUD -59k vs -60k prior NZD -19k vs -21k prior CAD -6k vs -3k prior CHF -20k vs -19k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report: JPY shorts jump but USD longs loosen elsewhere
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 13 November 2018 JPY -102k vs -89k prior EUR -37k vs -47k prior GBP -47k vs -57k prior AUD -60k vs -66k prior NZD -21k vs -26k prior CAD -3k vs -3k prior CHF -19k vs -20k prior BTC...
Latest Flow Technical Analysis
What’s got into the Swissy then?
CHF in a world of its own? CHF buying has been steady and persistent all of 2019 really, and the latest selling into the end of 2019 and early this year goes against the general risk picture. While JPY pairs have bounced on the favourable risk picture, the swissy is...
$CNH living on hopium? Big week for the Yuan this.
An outlook on the CNH drivers. #US- #China Phase One to be signed. Reinstatement of semi annual talks with China (outside trade talks), which Trump abolished earlier during his tenure. Expectations for China trade balance to rebound in Dec (out tomorrow). Expectations...
Livetrading update: GBP on the blink as the election euphoria wears off
Pound takes a knock as Brexit looms large once again As we've explained many times before, hard and fast rallies can reverse just as hard and fast, if they're not built on strong foundations. Right after the elections, we said if it crumbles, the low 1.32's could be...
What happens to GBP now following Boris’s election win?
Here's what's on the cards for the pound from now As the sun comes up on Boris's victory we need to look at what's in store for the quid now. The first telling move (or lack of) is a failure to follow through this morning. I was looking to see if one came but it...
Latest Flow Orders & Options
Trading idea for a large AUDUSD expiry looks out of reach for now
We at ForexFlow were on watch for a possible trade on a large option expiry A 2.12bn expiry at 0.6700 in AUDUSD caught our trading interest today, mainly because of its unusual make up. It's only been put on since late Jan and has the signs that it's possibly just one...
It’s a Friday frenzy in the Forex options expiries
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 20 December 2019 There's some very big expiries going off today, and plenty of them, so I've decided to list them in a full blog post rather than just the Live blog. USDNCH definitely has the most with over...
Livetrading update – Setting up a trade for big option plays in EURUSD
There's some big options strategies playing out in EURUSD between now and the end of the year These option plays are mainly in a very tight range and are bracketed by binary and barrier options, which has also created a ton of long gamma that needs to be managed by...
Forex options expiries 22 August 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 22 August 2019 It's hard to see EURUSD doing anything much while its surrounded by some decent expiries.
Latest Flow Video
Video – How low can AUDUSD go?
In this video I discuss a short trade in AUDUSD Several of the traders in the ForexFlow trading room, as well as myself, put together a strategy for running shorts in this pair, and have been through most of January. Here's a look at how the trade is going and whether...
New Year’s, new ideas
A video to kick off trading in 2020 https://youtu.be/yRaxipOL3PY
Trading the options action in EURUSD: Part 4 – Profit taken, rinse and repeat?
We've closed the door on our EURUSD strategy with good profit but are we good to go again? If you've been following this EURUSD trade mini-series, you'll know that we've been plotting and planning a trade around an options startegy in play in the wider market. This...
Here’s how we at ForexFlow profited from trading the options action in EURUSD
Two weeks ago we heard about an option strategy being played out in EURUSD and so we decided to use that information to put together our own trading strategy Here's a mini series of videos detailing a trading strategy in EURUSD. The three videos over the last two...
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