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Here’s 5 easy ways to improve your trading
Do you want to raise your trading A-game? Trading is tough. Every trade a retail trader takes is a leap of faith. It’s a leap of faith as to whether a technical level holds or whether the price goes in our favour. It’s a leap of faith whether you’ve been trading 3...
Action or inaction? It all amounts to the same thing
Why central banks can't stop the EM rot TRY is getting trounced because of the situation with the US, and further due to a lack of action from the Turkish central bank. ARS has been getting trounced for longer and today its central bank raised rates to 45%, to be held...
The Warriors guide to trading
Miyamoto Musashi's 'The Book of Five Rings' on strategy of Japanese swordplay is one of the best books on trading I've ever read While on my break, I did a lot of reading and when searching for some books I came across this one, 'The Book of Five Rings' by Miyamoto...
Latest Posts
USD out of favour or a virus reversal?
Lots of discussion in our trading room today on what's driving the USD weakness Some analysts have tied it to the riots in the US but if that were so, and money was exiting the US, we'd be seeing an exit from US stocks and bonds too, irrespective of Fed action....
Will things calm down after the end of month volatility? Don’t bet on it.
After some wild end of month moves, the market has gone back to trading the virus...the renewed US/China spat.... oil....and everything else. Here's what pairs and moves we're looking for this week at ForexFlow https://youtu.be/l7S-Mpz1Ca4
How much real FX liquidity is currently missing from the market?
FX volatility is still with us as liquidity drops due to the virus but what's driving the lower rate of business? This is something we've been talking about in our trading room today. When we talk about FX markets, most of our focus is on large banks and institutions...
How might Central banks enact FX intervention?
With rising talk about direct Forex intervention, what might central banks do? We like to be ahead of the game at ForexFlow, hence the warning about an increase in intervention talk 30 mins before two CB's started talking about intervention 😉 But, how might that...
Latest Flow Data
$CNH living on hopium? Big week for the Yuan this.
An outlook on the CNH drivers. #US- #China Phase One to be signed. Reinstatement of semi annual talks with China (outside trade talks), which Trump abolished earlier during his tenure. Expectations for China trade balance to rebound in Dec (out tomorrow). Expectations...
A mildly positive risk market on the open?
The weekend press headlines. Good Sunday evening, Monday morning fellow FX traders. -Give an take a bit of political banter, it seems the weekend got a little better as it progressed from China's political banter at the WTO yesterday into tighter IP protection rules...
A huge USD week. This time it’s different, isn’t it?
Preview on what's to come for the mighty dollar. It's some block of data and decisions we're getting second half of this week. We start with GDP, core PCE followed by the FOMC rate decision and presser today. Tomorrow we're having another round of PCE, personal income...
The lean green salad NFP’s
US labour report preview 02.08.2019 What is supposed to be the main course of day could turn out to be nothing more than a small starter in the light of everything that's going around on trade and geopolitics in this world. But traders we are so we will be looking for...
Latest Flow Cryptocurrencies
CFTC Forex Futures report – No towel throwing from USD bulls into the FOMC
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 18 December 2018 JPY -103k vs -98k prior EUR -53k vs -56k prior GBP -60k vs -42k prior AUD -35k vs -46k prior NZD +3k vs -15k prior CAD -7k vs -12k prior CHF -23k vs -18k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures – EUR and JPY shorts build while GBP shorts get cut
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 27 November 2018 JPY -104k vs -100k prior EUR -55k vs -47k prior GBP -39k vs -43k prior AUD -54k vs -59k prior NZD -21k vs -19k prior CAD -9k vs -6k prior CHF -21k vs -20k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report – EUR shorts add 10k – BTC shorts hit paydirt
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 20 November 2018 JPY -100k vs -102k prior EUR -47k vs -37k prior GBP -43k vs -47k prior AUD -59k vs -60k prior NZD -19k vs -21k prior CAD -6k vs -3k prior CHF -20k vs -19k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report: JPY shorts jump but USD longs loosen elsewhere
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 13 November 2018 JPY -102k vs -89k prior EUR -37k vs -47k prior GBP -47k vs -57k prior AUD -60k vs -66k prior NZD -21k vs -26k prior CAD -3k vs -3k prior CHF -19k vs -20k prior BTC...
Latest Flow Technical Analysis
EURGBP continues to frustrate, while AUD could be an early contender for a virus recovery trade
Here's an update on the EURGBP trade I've been riding why long AUD could be a good trade going forward You can read further detailed analysis on the EURGBP trade here. https://youtu.be/cacx5Sn7HpQ
What’s next for EURGBP as it remains indecisive between 0.87 and 0.88?
EURGBP back in the zone after a walk on the wild side I've been short EURGBP since the run up to the 0.94's but we're hit a roadblock around 0.87. 0.88 was an area I looked at to take some partial profit on my shorts, and duly did in the first test back there in late...
What’s got into the Swissy then?
CHF in a world of its own? CHF buying has been steady and persistent all of 2019 really, and the latest selling into the end of 2019 and early this year goes against the general risk picture. While JPY pairs have bounced on the favourable risk picture, the swissy is...
$CNH living on hopium? Big week for the Yuan this.
An outlook on the CNH drivers. #US- #China Phase One to be signed. Reinstatement of semi annual talks with China (outside trade talks), which Trump abolished earlier during his tenure. Expectations for China trade balance to rebound in Dec (out tomorrow). Expectations...
Latest Flow Orders & Options
Trading idea for a large AUDUSD expiry looks out of reach for now
We at ForexFlow were on watch for a possible trade on a large option expiry A 2.12bn expiry at 0.6700 in AUDUSD caught our trading interest today, mainly because of its unusual make up. It's only been put on since late Jan and has the signs that it's possibly just one...
It’s a Friday frenzy in the Forex options expiries
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 20 December 2019 There's some very big expiries going off today, and plenty of them, so I've decided to list them in a full blog post rather than just the Live blog. USDNCH definitely has the most with over...
Livetrading update – Setting up a trade for big option plays in EURUSD
There's some big options strategies playing out in EURUSD between now and the end of the year These option plays are mainly in a very tight range and are bracketed by binary and barrier options, which has also created a ton of long gamma that needs to be managed by...
Forex options expiries 22 August 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 22 August 2019 It's hard to see EURUSD doing anything much while its surrounded by some decent expiries.
Latest Flow Video
Time to take the money in USDMXN, and time to keep watch on GBP
Here's a video I did yesterday for the Investing Channel on my USDMXN position and what to watch for in GBP as we enter June https://youtu.be/oQ6qKbqiwcs
USDMXN could be a hot pair trade as countries crawl back from Coronavirus
This week starts with a 'risk' tug-of-war between countries re-opening, and an increase in US/China tensions. In this video I talk about a trade myself and the folks in the ForexFlow trading room are in https://youtu.be/-XY3QXB-XVk
Will things calm down after the end of month volatility? Don’t bet on it.
After some wild end of month moves, the market has gone back to trading the virus...the renewed US/China spat.... oil....and everything else. Here's what pairs and moves we're looking for this week at ForexFlow https://youtu.be/l7S-Mpz1Ca4
Here’s why conventional thinking is wrong when applied to trading the Coronavirus
Over the last few weeks something has been bugging me about the way people are analysing markets over Covid19. In this video, I explain why https://youtu.be/9QTMtvYaEP4
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