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Here’s 5 easy ways to improve your trading
Do you want to raise your trading A-game? Trading is tough. Every trade a retail trader takes is a leap of faith. It’s a leap of faith as to whether a technical level holds or whether the price goes in our favour. It’s a leap of faith whether you’ve been trading 3...
Action or inaction? It all amounts to the same thing
Why central banks can't stop the EM rot TRY is getting trounced because of the situation with the US, and further due to a lack of action from the Turkish central bank. ARS has been getting trounced for longer and today its central bank raised rates to 45%, to be held...
The Warriors guide to trading
Miyamoto Musashi's 'The Book of Five Rings' on strategy of Japanese swordplay is one of the best books on trading I've ever read While on my break, I did a lot of reading and when searching for some books I came across this one, 'The Book of Five Rings' by Miyamoto...
Latest Posts
Some thoughts after Fed’s Powell and incoming President Biden
A slightly longer review of Powell and Biden to last night Sometimes sleeping on something can bring a bit of clarity the next day, and doing just that has helped with analysing the Powell and Biden stuff. Powell Nothing unexpected from him in the end. Fed will do...
Trading themes to watch in the first few days of the New Year
Happy New Year traders As we enter the first trading days of the New Year, we need to see if price moves continue from the 2020 close, or if new moves unfold. Here's a look at a few key pairs and what might happen. https://youtu.be/TAM6HoAX1sY
Brexit – Are we really at the end of it, and what’s going on with GBP?
It seems we might be but GBP has perhaps not reacted as much as we might expect There could be a few reasons for that. We still need an official confirmation. We've been here before many times for it to all fall apart at the last moment. We also need to hear from the...
Important holiday trading information
The Christmas holidays are upon us again, so be prepared for what's to come over the next two weeks Today is likely to be the last proper trading day of the year. We've been speaking to people in the industry (banks/fin firms etc) and it seems nearly all the financial...
Latest Flow Data
$CNH living on hopium? Big week for the Yuan this.
An outlook on the CNH drivers. #US- #China Phase One to be signed. Reinstatement of semi annual talks with China (outside trade talks), which Trump abolished earlier during his tenure. Expectations for China trade balance to rebound in Dec (out tomorrow). Expectations...
A mildly positive risk market on the open?
The weekend press headlines. Good Sunday evening, Monday morning fellow FX traders. -Give an take a bit of political banter, it seems the weekend got a little better as it progressed from China's political banter at the WTO yesterday into tighter IP protection rules...
A huge USD week. This time it’s different, isn’t it?
Preview on what's to come for the mighty dollar. It's some block of data and decisions we're getting second half of this week. We start with GDP, core PCE followed by the FOMC rate decision and presser today. Tomorrow we're having another round of PCE, personal income...
The lean green salad NFP’s
US labour report preview 02.08.2019 What is supposed to be the main course of day could turn out to be nothing more than a small starter in the light of everything that's going around on trade and geopolitics in this world. But traders we are so we will be looking for...
Latest Flow Cryptocurrencies
Rotation, ROTATION!
Gold and BTC divergence. It's a hot topic these days. Since the major institutionals found their way to BTC, gold has definitely lost some of its shine. Positioning, less safe haven needs, the next US stimulus round having to wait a bit to see th elight of day ,...
CFTC Forex Futures report – No towel throwing from USD bulls into the FOMC
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 18 December 2018 JPY -103k vs -98k prior EUR -53k vs -56k prior GBP -60k vs -42k prior AUD -35k vs -46k prior NZD +3k vs -15k prior CAD -7k vs -12k prior CHF -23k vs -18k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures – EUR and JPY shorts build while GBP shorts get cut
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 27 November 2018 JPY -104k vs -100k prior EUR -55k vs -47k prior GBP -39k vs -43k prior AUD -54k vs -59k prior NZD -21k vs -19k prior CAD -9k vs -6k prior CHF -21k vs -20k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report – EUR shorts add 10k – BTC shorts hit paydirt
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 20 November 2018 JPY -100k vs -102k prior EUR -47k vs -37k prior GBP -43k vs -47k prior AUD -59k vs -60k prior NZD -19k vs -21k prior CAD -6k vs -3k prior CHF -20k vs -19k prior BTC...
Latest Flow Technical Analysis
Rotation, ROTATION!
Gold and BTC divergence. It's a hot topic these days. Since the major institutionals found their way to BTC, gold has definitely lost some of its shine. Positioning, less safe haven needs, the next US stimulus round having to wait a bit to see th elight of day ,...
Where can GBP go on a Brexit deal (or no-deal)?
We're assessing the possible price moves for GBP on Brexit We've been revising down our Brexit GBP possibilities in the trading room the last week or so as Brexit looks very much priced in. We know there's a deal there but the same sticking points remain. If anything,...
Did you all have fun in GBPUSD last week?
A bonkers week in Brexit even surpassed my expectations. GBP was battered anywhere a sell button could be pressed. In today's video we look at where the levels sit now, and where the pound might go next. https://youtu.be/4WSscldhtgE
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Latest Flow Orders & Options
Trading idea for a large AUDUSD expiry looks out of reach for now
We at ForexFlow were on watch for a possible trade on a large option expiry A 2.12bn expiry at 0.6700 in AUDUSD caught our trading interest today, mainly because of its unusual make up. It's only been put on since late Jan and has the signs that it's possibly just one...
It’s a Friday frenzy in the Forex options expiries
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 20 December 2019 There's some very big expiries going off today, and plenty of them, so I've decided to list them in a full blog post rather than just the Live blog. USDNCH definitely has the most with over...
Livetrading update – Setting up a trade for big option plays in EURUSD
There's some big options strategies playing out in EURUSD between now and the end of the year These option plays are mainly in a very tight range and are bracketed by binary and barrier options, which has also created a ton of long gamma that needs to be managed by...
Forex options expiries 22 August 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 22 August 2019 It's hard to see EURUSD doing anything much while its surrounded by some decent expiries.
Latest Flow Video
The tech plays its part as USDJPY fails the test
Last week we looked at the possibility of USDJPY making a break. Here's what happened and what happens next https://youtu.be/Ko0ttTFeOFI
Is the tide turning for USD
The theme coming out of the first week of the New Year was about rising inflation expectations and a reversal in USD https://youtu.be/zsfTitK5qK8
Trading themes to watch in the first few days of the New Year
Happy New Year traders As we enter the first trading days of the New Year, we need to see if price moves continue from the 2020 close, or if new moves unfold. Here's a look at a few key pairs and what might happen. https://youtu.be/TAM6HoAX1sY
Where can GBP go on a Brexit deal (or no-deal)?
We're assessing the possible price moves for GBP on Brexit We've been revising down our Brexit GBP possibilities in the trading room the last week or so as Brexit looks very much priced in. We know there's a deal there but the same sticking points remain. If anything,...
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