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EURUSD is still in the box
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Here’s 5 easy ways to improve your trading
Do you want to raise your trading A-game? Trading is tough. Every trade a retail trader takes is a leap of faith. It’s a leap of faith as to whether a technical level holds or whether the price goes in our favour. It’s a leap of faith whether you’ve been trading 3...
Action or inaction? It all amounts to the same thing
Why central banks can't stop the EM rot TRY is getting trounced because of the situation with the US, and further due to a lack of action from the Turkish central bank. ARS has been getting trounced for longer and today its central bank raised rates to 45%, to be held...
The Warriors guide to trading
Miyamoto Musashi's 'The Book of Five Rings' on strategy of Japanese swordplay is one of the best books on trading I've ever read While on my break, I did a lot of reading and when searching for some books I came across this one, 'The Book of Five Rings' by Miyamoto...
Latest Posts
The ten days dive into the unknown.
A Japanese Emperor change is coming. Hi all, I needed to read this FT article a few times to make sure I got it right. Japan will virtually be out for TEN DAYS when Emperor Akihito will abdicate and be replaced by his son Naruhito. From 27th April ongoing, that's a...
The market is ramping up the Fed cut expectations
Keeping rates unchanged for 2019 was the call right after the FOMC but those odds have crumbled Right after the Fed, the interest rate probabilities still favoured rates remaining unchanged through 2019. Now those odds have changed to favour a cut (or even cuts). A...
Another winner banked from the ForexFlow Platform Live trading room
Long GBPUSD position since late-January now closed Late Jan I started building small GBPUSD positions. The highest entry was at 1.3180, the lowest was at 1.2805. The reason was the shift in the Brexit outcomes, which sent no-deal down to the bottom of the list and...
Forex Trading Preview: Knowing what the market thinks is the key to trading tonight’s FOMC meeting
It's FOMC time and the market is going to be on the hunt for clues from Fed's Powell All the previews in the world that come and go over these events can usually all be summed up in one metric. For the Fed, the FFR rate probabilities is one of the best. The market is...
Latest Flow Data
The ten days dive into the unknown.
A Japanese Emperor change is coming. Hi all, I needed to read this FT article a few times to make sure I got it right. Japan will virtually be out for TEN DAYS when Emperor Akihito will abdicate and be replaced by his son Naruhito. From 27th April ongoing, that's a...
Simple preview on Canadian employment report.
Canada labour report 08.03.2019 TGIF! The employment data have been strong over the past 5 months, consistently beating expectations with the exception of January. At the same time we saw a positive rotation between full and part-time jobs. Today the employment change...
UK CPI comes in a touch softer in January 2019
January 2019 UK CPI, PPI, RPI price inflation data 13 February 2019 CPI 1.8% vs 1.9% exp y/y. Prior 2.1% -0.8% vs -0.7% exp m/m. Prior 0.2% Core CPI 1.9% vs 1.9% exp/Prior y/y -0.8% vs -0.8% exp m/m. Prior 0.3% CPIH 1.8% vs 1.9% exp y/y. Prior 2.0% RPI -0.9% vs -0.8%...
UK economy suffers another Brexit induced decline as GDP and production drop
UK preliminary GDP for Q4 2018 and December 2018 Industrial production and trade balance data 11 February 2019 Q4 2018 GDP prelim 0.2% vs 0.2% exp q/q. Prior 0.6% 1.3% vs 1.4% exp y//y. Prior 1.5%. Revised to 1.6% Business investment -1.4% vs -1.1% prior q/q -3.7% vs...
Latest Flow Cryptocurrencies
CFTC Forex Futures report – No towel throwing from USD bulls into the FOMC
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 18 December 2018 JPY -103k vs -98k prior EUR -53k vs -56k prior GBP -60k vs -42k prior AUD -35k vs -46k prior NZD +3k vs -15k prior CAD -7k vs -12k prior CHF -23k vs -18k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures – EUR and JPY shorts build while GBP shorts get cut
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 27 November 2018 JPY -104k vs -100k prior EUR -55k vs -47k prior GBP -39k vs -43k prior AUD -54k vs -59k prior NZD -21k vs -19k prior CAD -9k vs -6k prior CHF -21k vs -20k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report – EUR shorts add 10k – BTC shorts hit paydirt
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 20 November 2018 JPY -100k vs -102k prior EUR -47k vs -37k prior GBP -43k vs -47k prior AUD -59k vs -60k prior NZD -19k vs -21k prior CAD -6k vs -3k prior CHF -20k vs -19k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report: JPY shorts jump but USD longs loosen elsewhere
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 13 November 2018 JPY -102k vs -89k prior EUR -37k vs -47k prior GBP -47k vs -57k prior AUD -60k vs -66k prior NZD -21k vs -26k prior CAD -3k vs -3k prior CHF -19k vs -20k prior BTC...
Latest Flow Technical Analysis
The vikings are back. Watch your EURNOK!
Norges Bank stands tall and raises rates. It was expected, they delivered. But they delivered much more than just a 25 bps expected rate hike from 0.75% to 1%. They steepened the rate path by bringing forward the next expected rate hike from Q3 2019 to June and...
Forex Trading Preview: Knowing what the market thinks is the key to trading tonight’s FOMC meeting
It's FOMC time and the market is going to be on the hunt for clues from Fed's Powell All the previews in the world that come and go over these events can usually all be summed up in one metric. For the Fed, the FFR rate probabilities is one of the best. The market is...
What’s the trade ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC meeting?
Today we're looking at what's driving (or not driving) USDJPY and a trading opportunity into the US Fed FOMC Ahead of Wednesday's US Fed FOMC we look at the trading opportunities for USDJPY and also what's affecting the price right now. https://youtu.be/EkFRebxmuUc
GBP holding firm but is still on thin ice
GBP has been holding up well despite the bad news of a deal being voted down On paper, the remaining outcomes for Brexit still leave no-deal at the bottom of the risk pile and that's keeping the pound well supported. However, that line of thinking is seriously lacking...
Latest Flow Orders & Options
Forex options expiries 22 March 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 22 March 2019 USDJPY with a hefty stack of expiries and we're not straying too far from the batch around 110.30/40. AUDUSD keeping close to one there too.
Forex option expiries 21 March 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 21 March 2019
Forex options expiries 20 March 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 20 March 2019 EURUSD with the closest large expiry. A big chunk of Brexit hedging looks to be rolling off in GBPUSD up at 1.35.
Forex options expiries 19 March 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 19 March 2019 We might just be seeing some pull in USDJPY towards the larger expiries today around 111.30/50. With nothing much else to drive the pair, it would potentially take less money to push the price...
Latest Flow Video
What’s the trade ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC meeting?
Today we're looking at what's driving (or not driving) USDJPY and a trading opportunity into the US Fed FOMC Ahead of Wednesday's US Fed FOMC we look at the trading opportunities for USDJPY and also what's affecting the price right now. https://youtu.be/EkFRebxmuUc
EURUSD is still in the box
Catching up with EURUSD after the ECB meeting A dull ECB meeting left EURUSD playing between the well defined lines. Here's how things stand now. We also look at GBPUSD into the next big Brexit event. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W6buJ2ACxW0
Can ECB’s Draghi kick EURUSD out of its box this week?
Let's look at EURUSD ahead of Thursday's ECB meeting EURUSD showed a willingness to break the long-standing range but the move didn't last long. Will we see another attempt or will Draghi turn on his dovish charm leading to a move lower? We also have a quick catch up...
USDJPY is still hovering around the key 108 level
USDJPY forex technical analysis update 14 January 2019 USDJPY is mooching around the 108 level once again. It's just held one test but the price action is looking very weak in the bounces. Here I take an in depth look at the pair with the folks at Core TV on behalf of...
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