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Mario Draghi ECB press conference 6 June 2019
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Here’s 5 easy ways to improve your trading
Do you want to raise your trading A-game? Trading is tough. Every trade a retail trader takes is a leap of faith. It’s a leap of faith as to whether a technical level holds or whether the price goes in our favour. It’s a leap of faith whether you’ve been trading 3...
Action or inaction? It all amounts to the same thing
Why central banks can't stop the EM rot TRY is getting trounced because of the situation with the US, and further due to a lack of action from the Turkish central bank. ARS has been getting trounced for longer and today its central bank raised rates to 45%, to be held...
The Warriors guide to trading
Miyamoto Musashi's 'The Book of Five Rings' on strategy of Japanese swordplay is one of the best books on trading I've ever read While on my break, I did a lot of reading and when searching for some books I came across this one, 'The Book of Five Rings' by Miyamoto...
Latest Posts
The house wins again
This "house" isn't your broker or the market This "house" is the ForexFlow house, who was full of traders short USDMXN from last Thursday and beyond, and have all rang the bell on all or most positions now. Once again, I've got to doff my cap as I've had an amazing...
A very close NFP competition
Close results in this month's competition With the number coming out at 75k we have two people who managed to get very close to the number. ML guessed 76k Chen Wu guessed 77k Jack came next with 90k Ordinarily, the first two people closest to the number would get the...
What’s going to move markets in the US jobs report?
Here's how to decipher the numbers and possible market reactions For once, the US NFP and labour market data is going to be important. Earlier in the week I tweeted some quick thoughts on why today's jobs numbers will be important (click on the tweet to see the...
Huge roll-offs for USDJPY and EURUSD – Forex options expiries 6 June 2019
Forex option expiries for the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 6 June 2019 Whoppers galore today in quite a few pairs. EURUSD is one to watch as we're above them during Draghi right now.
Latest Flow Data
The ten days dive into the unknown.
A Japanese Emperor change is coming. Hi all, I needed to read this FT article a few times to make sure I got it right. Japan will virtually be out for TEN DAYS when Emperor Akihito will abdicate and be replaced by his son Naruhito. From 27th April ongoing, that's a...
Simple preview on Canadian employment report.
Canada labour report 08.03.2019 TGIF! The employment data have been strong over the past 5 months, consistently beating expectations with the exception of January. At the same time we saw a positive rotation between full and part-time jobs. Today the employment change...
UK CPI comes in a touch softer in January 2019
January 2019 UK CPI, PPI, RPI price inflation data 13 February 2019 CPI 1.8% vs 1.9% exp y/y. Prior 2.1% -0.8% vs -0.7% exp m/m. Prior 0.2% Core CPI 1.9% vs 1.9% exp/Prior y/y -0.8% vs -0.8% exp m/m. Prior 0.3% CPIH 1.8% vs 1.9% exp y/y. Prior 2.0% RPI -0.9% vs -0.8%...
UK economy suffers another Brexit induced decline as GDP and production drop
UK preliminary GDP for Q4 2018 and December 2018 Industrial production and trade balance data 11 February 2019 Q4 2018 GDP prelim 0.2% vs 0.2% exp q/q. Prior 0.6% 1.3% vs 1.4% exp y//y. Prior 1.5%. Revised to 1.6% Business investment -1.4% vs -1.1% prior q/q -3.7% vs...
Latest Flow Cryptocurrencies
CFTC Forex Futures report – No towel throwing from USD bulls into the FOMC
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 18 December 2018 JPY -103k vs -98k prior EUR -53k vs -56k prior GBP -60k vs -42k prior AUD -35k vs -46k prior NZD +3k vs -15k prior CAD -7k vs -12k prior CHF -23k vs -18k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures – EUR and JPY shorts build while GBP shorts get cut
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 27 November 2018 JPY -104k vs -100k prior EUR -55k vs -47k prior GBP -39k vs -43k prior AUD -54k vs -59k prior NZD -21k vs -19k prior CAD -9k vs -6k prior CHF -21k vs -20k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report – EUR shorts add 10k – BTC shorts hit paydirt
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 20 November 2018 JPY -100k vs -102k prior EUR -47k vs -37k prior GBP -43k vs -47k prior AUD -59k vs -60k prior NZD -19k vs -21k prior CAD -6k vs -3k prior CHF -20k vs -19k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report: JPY shorts jump but USD longs loosen elsewhere
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 13 November 2018 JPY -102k vs -89k prior EUR -37k vs -47k prior GBP -47k vs -57k prior AUD -60k vs -66k prior NZD -21k vs -26k prior CAD -3k vs -3k prior CHF -19k vs -20k prior BTC...
Latest Flow Technical Analysis
Probably the biggest news overnight was China’s PBOC potentially opening the floodgates on CNH/CNY
PBOC's governor Gang was out with comments overnight A little bit of flexibility" in the yuan is good for Chinese and global economies No numerical number is more important than another We could have a temporary depreciation effect on the yuan That lot blew the lid on...
USDCNH is back on the trading radar
An increase in US and China trade tensions are edging USDCNH back towards the big 7.00 level In the latter part of 2018, some of us in the live trading room profited from playing shorts in USDCNH into the 7.00 level. We're heading that way again and so I'm looking at...
Shorts are still the way forward for trading USDMXN
It’s been a while since I last did an analysis on USDMXN so I thought it would be good to do an update to see where we are technically & fundamentally Back in November I wrote about trading USDMXN and I think it's time for an update. Today has seen the PA fall to...
Video – Trading EURUSD over the European Central Bank meeting 10th April 2019
Can EURUSD pull away from the 1.1200 area or will the ECB tip it over the edge? A quick look at EURUSD ahead of the ECB meeting this Wednesday. https://youtu.be/Bx6Ri7Sad1s Check out our other videos and subscribe to our YouTube channel here.
Latest Flow Orders & Options
EURUSD whopper lurking – Forex options expiries 14 June 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 14 June 2019 Over 4bn off at 1.1300 in EURUSD, over 3.5bn are calls. We've moved well below now following the US retail sales but let's see what the options player have to say about it. One thing that stuck...
Forex options expiries 13 june 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 13 June 2019 Lots on the cards today but prices seem to be in between a lot of the bigger expiries.
Forex options expiries 12 June 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 12 June 2019 USDCAD might want to take a look at its main expiry today, although the Call/Put split is pretty even.
Forex options expiries 11 June 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 11 June 2019 EURUSD with quite a gaggle of expiries but AUDNZD is one to watch as it looked well out the way earlier today.
Latest Flow Video
All hail volatility!! Fed cuts, important jobs and what it all means for our trading
Volatility is back and the market has a new bone to chew. Here's what's happening. https://youtu.be/Ae71hRwfsmM
GBP is getting back on the Brexit bus
UK Parliament has had its Easter break and now we get back to Brexit fun and games. Here's what we expect from the pound. Some thoughts on what's going to happen to the pound as Brexit winds up again. https://youtu.be/_1v4WxmakpM
Video – Trading EURUSD over the European Central Bank meeting 10th April 2019
Can EURUSD pull away from the 1.1200 area or will the ECB tip it over the edge? A quick look at EURUSD ahead of the ECB meeting this Wednesday. https://youtu.be/Bx6Ri7Sad1s Check out our other videos and subscribe to our YouTube channel here.
What’s the trade ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC meeting?
Today we're looking at what's driving (or not driving) USDJPY and a trading opportunity into the US Fed FOMC Ahead of Wednesday's US Fed FOMC we look at the trading opportunities for USDJPY and also what's affecting the price right now. https://youtu.be/EkFRebxmuUc
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