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Where should traders look to trade USDCAD after a new trade deal comes together?
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What’s the best way to trade headlines?
A headline driven market is a tough to trade market, so what's the best way to trade it? Given that we have an immense amount of political, and global events going on, we're in the midst of very headline driven markets and that can be tough for some traders to handle....
Action or inaction? It all amounts to the same thing
Why central banks can't stop the EM rot TRY is getting trounced because of the situation with the US, and further due to a lack of action from the Turkish central bank. ARS has been getting trounced for longer and today its central bank raised rates to 45%, to be held...
The Warriors guide to trading
Miyamoto Musashi's 'The Book of Five Rings' on strategy of Japanese swordplay is one of the best books on trading I've ever read While on my break, I did a lot of reading and when searching for some books I came across this one, 'The Book of Five Rings' by Miyamoto...
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A relative quiet open despite nervous politics.
Sunday 21.10.2018 FX opening rates. Welcome dear fellow traders and readers, I hope you had a peaceful and pleasant weekend. The weekend was marked by Trump announcing pulling out of the US-Russian nuke pact. Further headlines: -Britain could accept extending the...
Time to count the points.
Friday 19.10.2018 FX closing rates. It's been a week where data finally put up some fight against politics. At least for a few currencies. CAD was one of them, CPI finally cost the loonie a place on the sunny beach. A bit against out assumption, where most of us are...
Canada CPI September 2018 2.2% vs 2.7% exp y/y
September 2018 Canadian CPI inflation and retail sales data 19 October 2018 Prior 2.8% -0.4% vs 0.1% exp m/m. Prior -0.1% BOC core 1.5% vs 1.7% prior y/y Core common 1.9% vs 2.0% exp y/y. Prior 2.0% Core Median 2.0% vs 2.1% prior y/y Trim 2.1% vs 2.2% prior y/y Retail...
Forex update – Waiting for some questions to be answered?
A quick look at markets 19 October 2018 EURUSD - After hitting support at 1.1430 we've seen a modest bounce but it's looking very dead cat-ish. The main damage has been done through 1.1500. 1.1470 is the resistance level as I type (actually just being tested), and...
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Canada CPI September 2018 2.2% vs 2.7% exp y/y
September 2018 Canadian CPI inflation and retail sales data 19 October 2018 Prior 2.8% -0.4% vs 0.1% exp m/m. Prior -0.1% BOC core 1.5% vs 1.7% prior y/y Core common 1.9% vs 2.0% exp y/y. Prior 2.0% Core Median 2.0% vs 2.1% prior y/y Trim 2.1% vs 2.2% prior y/y Retail...
UK PSNB September 2018 3.3bn vs 4.6bn exp
September 2018 UK Public sector finance data 19 October 2018 Prior 5.9bn. Revised to 4.8bn Ex-banks 4.1bn vs 4.5bn exp. Prior 6.8bn. Revised to 5.6bn PSNCR 15.8bn vs 3.1bn prior Central gov NCR 14.7bn vs 5.2bn prior Lower borrowing but much higher NCR. Ex-banks...
China Q3 2018 GDP yoy 6.5 % vs 6.6% expected
Chinese September 2018 data overview on 19.10.2018. Q3 GDP yoy prior 6.7% Q3 GDP qoq 1.6% vs 1.6% exp, prior 1.8% Sept Fixed asset investment yoy 5.4% vs 5.3% exp, prior 5.3% Sept Retail sales yoy 9.2% vs 9.0% exp, prior 9.0% Sept Industrial production yoy 5.8% vs...
US Philly Fed business outlook index October 2018 22.2 vs 20.0 exp
October 2018 US Philly Fed business outlook index report 18 October 2018 Prior 22.9 Prices paid 38.2 vs 39.6 prior Employment 19.5 vs 17.6 prior New orders 19.3 vs 21.4 prior 6m expectations 33.8 vs 36.3 prior Capex 25.2 vs 27.7 prior Better on the headline numbers...
Latest Flow Cryptocurrencies
CFTC Forex futures report – JPY shorts suffer again
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 25 September 2018 JPY -115k vs -114k prior EUR -16k vs -7k prior GBP -60k vs -59k prior AUD -73k vs -72k prior NZD -34k vs -31k prior CAD -17k vs -19k prior CHF -13k vs -13k prior...
CFTC futures report: USD longs pick up vs JPY and AUD while bond specs hit record shorts
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 25 September 2018 JPY -85k vs -64k prior EUR +4k vs +2k prior GBP -67k vs -79k prior AUD -72k vs -68k prior NZD -32k vs -32k prior CAD -20k vs -30k prior CHF -16k vs -18k prior BTC...
CFTC forex futures report: GBP shorts get a Brexit reprieve
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 18 September 2018 JPY -64k vs -54k prior EUR +2k vs +11k prior GBP -79k vs -61k prior AUD -68k vs -44k prior NZD -32k vs -23k prior CAD -30k vs -27k prior CHF -18k vs -35k prior BTC...
CFTC forex futures report: EUR longs grow while GBP shorts get trimmed
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 11 September 2018 JPY -54k vs -52k prior EUR +11k vs +8k prior GBP -61k vs -70k prior AUD -44k vs -44k prior NZD -23k vs -25k prior CAD -27k vs -26k prior CHF -35k vs -40k prior BTC...
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Go with the Flow – Monday 22 October 2018
Here are today’s Trading views and Ideas for the day ahead. Let us know what you are looking at – Charts – Trade chatter – Trade positions. The Flow traders are available throughout the day to help out with your questions – Share trade set-ups and keep you...
Go with the Flow – Friday 19 October 2018
Here are today’s Trading views and Ideas for the day ahead. Let us know what you are looking at – Charts – Trade chatter – Trade positions. The Flow traders are available throughout the day to help out with your questions – Share trade set-ups and keep you updated...
Go with the Flow – Thursday 18 October 2018
Here are today’s Trading views and Ideas for the day ahead. Let us know what you are looking at – Charts – Trade chatter – Trade positions. The Flow traders are available throughout the day to help out with your questions – Share trade set-ups and keep you updated...
Time for a BOC short build in USDCAD?
I'm entering a trade with a view of running it into the BOC I've been eyeing a short USDCAD strategy into the BOC for the best part of October so far. What's held me back is that I didn't want to have a big gap between entering and the BOC but that risked missing...
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EUR pairs in focus in today’s Forex options expiries 22 October 2018
Forex options expiring at the 10 am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 22 October 2018 As can be the usual case on a Monday, a pretty light board. Still, there's two sizeable expiries in EURUSD and EURGBP, not to far from the current price (at time of writing).
EURUSD between two big goal posts – Forex options expiries 19 October 2018
Forex options expiring at the 10 am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 19 October 2018 EURUSD with three large expiries and USDJPY has one right on the money now (current price 112.48).
EURUSD stacked up 1.1450-1.1550 – Forex options expiries 18 October 2018
Forex options expiring at the 10 am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 18 October 2018 Three large expiries cover 100 pip range in EURUSD and there's even a big one in EURGBP, though it's a bit out of the way.
AUDUSD with interest at 0.7120 – Forex options expiries 17 October 2018
Forex options expiring at the 10 am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 17 October 2018 AUDUSD is the only pair that is close to a decent expiry but a lot can happen between now and the cut.
Latest Flow Video
Video: Where should traders look to trade USDCAD after a new trade deal comes together?
NAFTA or USMCA trade deal gives the CAD a lift. Here's where to look to trade it next Without being a 'Hindsight Harry', the silence on NAFTA on Friday looks to have been a signal that there was a deal coming. Considering Canada's Freeland spent more time updating us...
Here’s what trade wars and Brexit mean for trading currencies
Trade war news isn't having much of an effect on FX markets, and Brexit is all smiles for the pound Today I spoke to my old mate Nick Batsford at Core TV about what's driving FX markets....
How well do you sleep at night when holding trades?
Does holding trades cause you stress? In today's chat with the folks at Core TV I spoke about what's happening in USDMXN and USDCAD but one subject that came up was about coping with trades when you're waiting for something to happen. We often talk about the emotional...
What’s next for EURUSD?
A look at what's pushing and pulling the euro right now Today I spoke to Nick Batsford at Core TV about EURUSD and the current themes that are moving it. https://youtu.be/6GuePHTrbas
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