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Mario Draghi ECB press conference 6 June 2019
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Here’s 5 easy ways to improve your trading
Do you want to raise your trading A-game? Trading is tough. Every trade a retail trader takes is a leap of faith. It’s a leap of faith as to whether a technical level holds or whether the price goes in our favour. It’s a leap of faith whether you’ve been trading 3...
Action or inaction? It all amounts to the same thing
Why central banks can't stop the EM rot TRY is getting trounced because of the situation with the US, and further due to a lack of action from the Turkish central bank. ARS has been getting trounced for longer and today its central bank raised rates to 45%, to be held...
The Warriors guide to trading
Miyamoto Musashi's 'The Book of Five Rings' on strategy of Japanese swordplay is one of the best books on trading I've ever read While on my break, I did a lot of reading and when searching for some books I came across this one, 'The Book of Five Rings' by Miyamoto...
Latest Posts
What level of perfection is the Fed actually seeking?
Has Fed's Powell all but confirmed an interest rate cut? Now I'm really torn over the Fed. Having slept on it and reflected, it really does look like they're ready to cut, and are looking for an excuse to do so. The way Powell played down the labour market was the...
Who actually wants to buy negative bonds and why?
Who feels the need to pay governments to hold their money? It's one thing to point at the bond market and scream that it's flagging problems about the economy but what is really behind the moves, and why do people buy bonds to only to pay the issuer to hold their...
Can you feel the shifting winds in markets?
Since the US & China kiss-and-make up at the G20, things have shifted in markets On Monday we highlighted a potential problem brewing for markets following the upbeat feelings from the G20. FX and stocks were cheering but the bond market wasn't....
This week is an apt reminder that the market is bigger than all of us
A review of trading this big Fed week There's not been much time this week for updating trades on the website because it's been very busy in the trading room so I wanted to give an update of things here and to also talk about the current market dynamics. I've not been...
Latest Flow Data
The ten days dive into the unknown.
A Japanese Emperor change is coming. Hi all, I needed to read this FT article a few times to make sure I got it right. Japan will virtually be out for TEN DAYS when Emperor Akihito will abdicate and be replaced by his son Naruhito. From 27th April ongoing, that's a...
Simple preview on Canadian employment report.
Canada labour report 08.03.2019 TGIF! The employment data have been strong over the past 5 months, consistently beating expectations with the exception of January. At the same time we saw a positive rotation between full and part-time jobs. Today the employment change...
UK CPI comes in a touch softer in January 2019
January 2019 UK CPI, PPI, RPI price inflation data 13 February 2019 CPI 1.8% vs 1.9% exp y/y. Prior 2.1% -0.8% vs -0.7% exp m/m. Prior 0.2% Core CPI 1.9% vs 1.9% exp/Prior y/y -0.8% vs -0.8% exp m/m. Prior 0.3% CPIH 1.8% vs 1.9% exp y/y. Prior 2.0% RPI -0.9% vs -0.8%...
UK economy suffers another Brexit induced decline as GDP and production drop
UK preliminary GDP for Q4 2018 and December 2018 Industrial production and trade balance data 11 February 2019 Q4 2018 GDP prelim 0.2% vs 0.2% exp q/q. Prior 0.6% 1.3% vs 1.4% exp y//y. Prior 1.5%. Revised to 1.6% Business investment -1.4% vs -1.1% prior q/q -3.7% vs...
Latest Flow Cryptocurrencies
CFTC Forex Futures report – No towel throwing from USD bulls into the FOMC
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 18 December 2018 JPY -103k vs -98k prior EUR -53k vs -56k prior GBP -60k vs -42k prior AUD -35k vs -46k prior NZD +3k vs -15k prior CAD -7k vs -12k prior CHF -23k vs -18k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures – EUR and JPY shorts build while GBP shorts get cut
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 27 November 2018 JPY -104k vs -100k prior EUR -55k vs -47k prior GBP -39k vs -43k prior AUD -54k vs -59k prior NZD -21k vs -19k prior CAD -9k vs -6k prior CHF -21k vs -20k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report – EUR shorts add 10k – BTC shorts hit paydirt
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 20 November 2018 JPY -100k vs -102k prior EUR -47k vs -37k prior GBP -43k vs -47k prior AUD -59k vs -60k prior NZD -19k vs -21k prior CAD -6k vs -3k prior CHF -20k vs -19k prior BTC...
CFTC Forex Futures report: JPY shorts jump but USD longs loosen elsewhere
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 13 November 2018 JPY -102k vs -89k prior EUR -37k vs -47k prior GBP -47k vs -57k prior AUD -60k vs -66k prior NZD -21k vs -26k prior CAD -3k vs -3k prior CHF -19k vs -20k prior BTC...
Latest Flow Technical Analysis
Silver – This weeks shining star, as predicted by ForexFlow
The Silver surge is getting a lot of attention this week. Many behind the curve commentators have suddenly awoken to the notion that Gold is not the only shining star in the metal mainstream Here in the ForexFlow trading room, we have been locked long and loaded for...
Probably the biggest news overnight was China’s PBOC potentially opening the floodgates on CNH/CNY
PBOC's governor Gang was out with comments overnight A little bit of flexibility" in the yuan is good for Chinese and global economies No numerical number is more important than another We could have a temporary depreciation effect on the yuan That lot blew the lid on...
USDCNH is back on the trading radar
An increase in US and China trade tensions are edging USDCNH back towards the big 7.00 level In the latter part of 2018, some of us in the live trading room profited from playing shorts in USDCNH into the 7.00 level. We're heading that way again and so I'm looking at...
Shorts are still the way forward for trading USDMXN
It’s been a while since I last did an analysis on USDMXN so I thought it would be good to do an update to see where we are technically & fundamentally Back in November I wrote about trading USDMXN and I think it's time for an update. Today has seen the PA fall to...
Latest Flow Orders & Options
Forex options expiries 19 July 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 19 July 2019 The week ends with a whimper I'm afraid, though we're not too far off the biggies in USDJPY and EURUSD at time of writing.
Forex options expiries 18 July 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 18 July 2019 It's been no surprise to the subscribers of the ForexFlow platform to see what the range in EURUSD has been today as we saw this option picture last night. Good size too in USDCNH.
Forex options expiries 17 July 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10 am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 17 July 2019 Looks like we're in for a gluey afternoon in USDJPY with big expiries looking to contain.
Forex options expiries 16 July 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10 am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 16 July 2019 EURUSD sitting between two decent expiries today.
Latest Flow Video
What’s changed in the Fed trade?
With Jerome Powell seemingly all but cementing a hike during his testimony to Congress, what's the trade for the FOMC now? https://youtu.be/V3EINdCkw6U
Trading the Fed – When doves cry
Big day today as we get to hear the latest thoughts from the US Fed Dovish? Cuts? No cuts? No fuss? All our questions get answered today so here's how we're looking to trade it. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VRZeMxPNepA&feature=youtu.be
All hail volatility!! Fed cuts, important jobs and what it all means for our trading
Volatility is back and the market has a new bone to chew. Here's what's happening. https://youtu.be/Ae71hRwfsmM
GBP is getting back on the Brexit bus
UK Parliament has had its Easter break and now we get back to Brexit fun and games. Here's what we expect from the pound. Some thoughts on what's going to happen to the pound as Brexit winds up again. https://youtu.be/_1v4WxmakpM
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