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The Forex world has lost another great trader and a fine man
It is with the utmost sadness that we have to report that Si Heath has passed away Unfortunately, we have been told that Si has passed away. Our deepest sympathies go out to Si's family at this sad time. Si had been around from even before my Forexlive days and over...
Action or inaction? It all amounts to the same thing
Why central banks can't stop the EM rot TRY is getting trounced because of the situation with the US, and further due to a lack of action from the Turkish central bank. ARS has been getting trounced for longer and today its central bank raised rates to 45%, to be held...
The Warriors guide to trading
Miyamoto Musashi's 'The Book of Five Rings' on strategy of Japanese swordplay is one of the best books on trading I've ever read While on my break, I did a lot of reading and when searching for some books I came across this one, 'The Book of Five Rings' by Miyamoto...
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Getting slowly ready for another round
Sunday 19.08.2018 FX Opening rates Good evening dear Forexflow readers. I hope you had a relaxing weekend. Here we go again for an interesting week, where politics of all sorts will for sure have a say again in where FX will sail into before we all leave for Jackson...
Trade wars? It’s all a joke. We have a plan.
Friday 17.08.2018 FX closing rates Look see, with all that went and goes on, take away some already fragile and stubborn EM currencies, sentiment is closing the week much more positive than where it started . A long term money manager, having dumped the TRY and ZAR...
A big thank you for a superb week all round
Another great week ends Once again, the curtain comes down on a very eventful week. I finish the week chopping a slice off my USDMXN short at 18.85 as the US announce they drop sweeping demands on farming exports. Mexico and the US seem to be getting it done so a...
CFTC Futures report: EURUSD longs throw in the towel
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 14 August 2018 JPY -58k vs -63k prior EUR -2k vs +10k prior GBP -61k vs -59k prior AUD -51k vs -55k prior NZD -27k vs -25k prior CAD -26k vs -25k prior CHF -46k vs -46k prior BTC...
Latest Flow Data
US August prelim Michigan consumer sentiment index 95.3 vs 98 expected
US August 2018 preliminary Michigan indices on 17.08.201 prior 97.9 Current conditions 107.8vs 114.4 prior Consumer expectations 87.3 vs 87.3 prior 1 year inflation outlook 2.9% vs 2.9% prior 5 year inflation outlook 2.5% vs 2.40% prior -Consumer sentiment slipped to...
Canada CPI July 2018 3.0% vs 2.5% exp y/y
July 2018 Canada CPI inflation data 17 August 2018 Prior 2.5% 0.5% vs 0.1% exp m/m. Prior 0.1% CPI common 1.9% vs 1.9% exp. Prior 1.9% CPI median 2.0% vs 2.0% prior CPI trim 2.1% vs 2.0% prior BOC core 1.6% vs 1.3% prior 0.2% vs 0.1% prior m/m Big jump in inflation on...
Eurozone HICP final July 2018 2.1% vs 2.1% exp y/y
July 2018 Eurozone final HICP inflation data 17 August 2018 Prior 2.0% -0.3% vs -0.3% exp m/m. Prior 0.1% Core 1.1% vs 1.1% exp y/y -0.5% vs -0.5% exp m/m. Prior 0.0% All on the money. Energy is starting to ramp up again. It rose 9.5% y/y vs 8.0% in June. That gives...
US Philly Fed business outlook index August 2018 11.9 vs 22.0 exp
August 2018 US Philly Fed manufacturing data 16 August 2018 Prior 25.7 New orders 9.9 vs 31.4 prior Prices paid 55.0 vs 62.9 prior Employment 14.3 vs 16.8 prior 6m expectations 38.8 vs 29.0 prior Capex 27.1 vs 31.4 prior Big headline miss and a sharp drop in the...
Latest Flow Cryptocurrencies
CFTC Futures report: EURUSD longs throw in the towel
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 14 August 2018 JPY -58k vs -63k prior EUR -2k vs +10k prior GBP -61k vs -59k prior AUD -51k vs -55k prior NZD -27k vs -25k prior CAD -26k vs -25k prior CHF -46k vs -46k prior BTC...
CFTC futures report: EUR longs chopped by more than half
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 7 August 2018 JPY -63k vs -68k prior EUR +10k vs +23k prior GBP -59k vs -47k prior AUD -55k vs -51k prior NZD -25k vs -24k prior CAD -25k vs -32k prior CHF -46k vs -44k prior EURUSD...
CAD and GBP shorts jump – CFTC forex futures report
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 10 July 2018 JPY -40k vs -39k prior EUR +24k vs +37k prior GBP -40k vs -29k prior AUD -41k vs -39k prior NZD -27k vs -26k prior CAD -53k vs -49k prior CHF -40k vs -40k prior BTC...
CFTC forex futures report – GBP shorts mount up while CAD shorts look lost ahead of the BOC
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 3 July 2018 JPY -39k vs -34k prior EUR +37k vs +34k prior GBP -29k vs -22k prior AUD -39k vs -41k prior NZD -26k vs -18k prior CAD -49k vs -33k prior CHF -40k vs -38k prior BTC -409...
Latest Flow Technical Analysis
Go with the Flow – Friday 17 August 2018
Here are today’s Trading views and Ideas for the day ahead. Let us know what you are looking at – Charts – Trade chatter – Trade positions. The Flow traders are available throughout the day to help out with your questions – Share trade set-ups and keep you updated...
Go With The Flow – Thursday 16 August 2018
Here are today’s trading views and ideas for the day ahead 16 August 2018 Good morning all. Breakthrough or just a tentative step in the trade war saga? The US and China are going to have tea together to talk trade, although these talks are said to be low level....
You, me and the PBOC – USDCNH trade idea
With USDCNH into 6.90, I'm starting to get ready to look at shorts A pretty simple trade idea this one. China is set to defend 7.00 and we already know of large barriers there. The biggest central bank in the world is in play and if there's one thing I've learnt over...
Go With The Flow – Hump day 15 August 2018
Here are today’s trading views and ideas for the day ahead 15 August 2018 Good morning and welcome to today's trading post. UK CPI data is the main data event in Europe before we switch to the US and a look at the consumer via retail sales and the first manufacturing...
Latest Flow Orders & Options
CFTC Futures report: EURUSD longs throw in the towel
The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 14 August 2018 JPY -58k vs -63k prior EUR -2k vs +10k prior GBP -61k vs -59k prior AUD -51k vs -55k prior NZD -27k vs -25k prior CAD -26k vs -25k prior CHF -46k vs -46k prior BTC...
USDCAD pops up with some size – Forex option expiries 17 August 2018
Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 17 August 2018 A bit of a decent spread in USDJPY in the 110's and some good size in USDCAD.
What’s interesting about today’s options then?
Here's what's sticking out on the options board today Today's options board has something that piqued my attention. It's the EURGBP and GBPUSD expiries at 0.8950 & 1.2700. Here's why; They're both all calls (give or take a handful of change) so need the price above...
An interesting situation could evolve in the Forex options expiries 16 Auguist 2018
Forex option expiries for the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 16 August 2018 Something interesting on the board today but I'm going to let you work it out and tell me what it is. It could mean some definitive action at expiry (if all conditions are met). Let's see if...
Latest Flow Video
What’s next for EURUSD?
A look at what's pushing and pulling the euro right now Today I spoke to Nick Batsford at Core TV about EURUSD and the current themes that are moving it. https://youtu.be/6GuePHTrbas
What’s next for USDMXN after the elections?
In today's Core TV show we discuss USDMXN and what might come next https://youtu.be/CkfexBVKulQ
Why I think the pound could be a huge sell into the August BOE meeting
GBP has been given a new lease of life after a hawkish BOE MPC meeting Today I spoke to the folks at Core TV about what's happening in the pound and how there could be a great selling opportunity into the August MPC meeting. https://youtu.be/8MWPN2Q5tAA
What’s next for AUDUSD?
AUDUSD is the pick of the bunch today so what's the trade now? The Aussie is the star performer today after some good data overnight, and a better risk tone all round. With the next RBA meeting tomorrow there's perhaps some increased expectation for something a touch...
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