New Year, new prize in our Non-Farm Payrolls competition
Start 2022 off with a free Forex Analytix subscription in our NFP compo Kick your year off on the right foot by winning a free subscription to our traders platform. To celebrate the New Year, the closest to the number this month will get a free 2 month subscription!...
Is 2022 the Euro’s year to shine?
Buying EUR could be one of the trades of 2022 I'm getting the 'itch' I get when I want to start building a position, and this one if for a long in EUR. With central banks around the world getting their hiking boots on there's going to be plenty of expectations and...
Be a trader, not a gambler
Do you really need "one more trade"? When I worked in the CIty, this time of year was usually a complete write off as far as market activity went. Lots of traders would be off, others would come and go when they pleased and a lot of folks would be smashing the...
Take part in the last ever Non Farm Payrolls competition
Pick a number and win a free month subscription to the Forex Analytix platform Yes folks, all things come to an end and this is the last ever NFP competition...of 2021 😉 Once again we have 3 prizes up for grabs. All you have to do is pick a number for the NFP. Get it...
Heads up for some early end of month FX clues on the MSCI rebalancing
Semi-annual index rebalancing can set the tone for the month-end fix moves First the background The MSCI is a series of global index analytics. They create baskets of stocks (indexes) of sectors, countries, firm sizes etc etc, and provide a wide range of tracking and...
Everyone’s waiting for 112.50 in USDJPY
Market expectations for where USDJPY might go to are growing Reading a lot of analysis on USDJPY and 112.50 and 112.00 are in a lot of trader's crosshairs, perhaps uncomfortably so. The central bank expectation reset goes on and now we need to see how things develop....
#Canada #Employment report preview.
Another belter or? First a warning: StatsCan reports can be volatile. We've seen enough huge revisions to prior reports to always make sure to keep the bag of salt close to hand when they produce data. This being said, we've had increasingly good Canadian labour...
Celebrate the taper by taking part in our NFP competition
As the Fed heads towards the QE exit door, while passing the buck back to data watching for the next 6 months, why not get ready for trading that by joining our trading community for free? You can do just that by taking part in our Non-farm payrolls competition, where...
US Fed FOMC preview – The taper that doesn’t matter
Some final thoughts for today's FOMC As you might expect, our chatrooms this past week has been full of central bank talk and who might do what and when, and now attention has turned to the Fed. I'll start by repeating that I don't think the taper is a big deal at...
RBA shifts, AUD shuffles:
The cracks have appeared in the RBA's stance Half of me is surprised that AUD hasn't reacted better to that, the other half isn't after seeing the FX reaction to the BOC and ECB, so think we're not really trading (these) CB's properly right now. Maybe some sell the...
Canada and CAD are the least important aspects of today’s Bank of Canada meeting
Today's BOC meeting may have far greater consequences than just what affects Canada Obviously not dismissing the trading impact of the BOC on CAD, or Canada in general but that may not be the big news. There's many folks thinking that the BOC will try and rein in...
The grand central bank rate hike experiment
Markets are getting all bullish over rate hikes As I write this, the market is pricing in a 15bp hike at the Nov BOE MPC meeting, and see rates at 1.00% by Aug 2022. The ECB is pricing a 10bp hike by Sep 2022, up from Dec and as for the Fed, we're looking at Q2/3 for...
The USDJPY rocket hits the zone
USDJPY into the 114/115 area now and it shouldn't be underestimated how big an area it is IT'S MASSIVE!! Obviously there's levels within it, starting around the current highs and through to 45/50, then 60/70. Then you can look at prior high points etc etc. A break...
Come and have a go at our Taper-tastic US Non-Farm Payrolls competition
Put some gas in your trading tank by joining one of the biggest and best online trading communities! With the Fed now on the road to a taper do the the jobs numbers even matter anymore? Of course they do. Irrespective of whether the Fed die is cast, these numbers will...
Trading the FOMC is all about the ranges
Trading the Fed FOMC today is all about whether any news sets us up for a test of any of the well worn ranges The window for Powell making excuses to not taper, or announce a taper is growing smaller and so price reaction risk is growing. The longer he leaves a taper...
Have you got what it takes to guess the US Non-farm payrolls number?
Jobs, jobs, jobs. That's what Fed's Powell has told us is now (still) important so get ready for Friday's NFP With summer drawing to a close and volatility likely to rise into the end of the year as central banks squirm under less than transitory inflation and floods...
BOE preview – Changing of the guard and look out for an algo quirk
Bank of England time! A bit of a changing of the guard going on. Haldane was the only voter to cut QE at the last meeting and he's now gone. This is Vlieghe's last meeting so it doesn't really matter what his view are but just for reference, he's for keeping policy as...
A super special NFP competition
Celebrating the joining of two forces It's been a while but as it's a special occasion it's time to resurrect the famous US non-farm payrolls competition. As you know, ForexFlow and Forex Analytix have merged our two services to offer a complete suite of trading...
The big trading question is not ‘when’ the Fed will taper but ‘how’?
Market in a tizzy over taper There shouldn't be many people in the market now who don't think a taper is coming. It's been talked about so much, there's next to no expectation left of it happening. Yes, everyone is still throwing darts at the calendar trying to guess...
Is AUD ripe for a fall?
Fears over a jump in virus cases in Australia could put pressure on AUD. Here's how I'm trading it. https://youtu.be/0xukDDkyjb4
Fed: Same game, different rules
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) - 4X Global Research The Federal Reserve at its policy meeting on 16th June, whether inadvertently or by design, reset financial markets’ clocks. The dust has since settled somewhat, with US short-end and long-end...
The Art of Knife Catching
Here's how not to lose your fingers after this week's FOMC moves Like most people, if I'm not on big moves like this, I'm getting the itch to catch the knife. However, far too many people just think that because something's gone down a lot, it's going to up again...
The bond moves explained and what it means for FX
The simple answer is often the best answer We've been scratching our heads a bit in our trading room over the bond moves (and others) in recent days. Is it falling Central bank expectations, or fearing a top in inflation, problems over the next US stimulus package etc...
A big song and dance over US inflation
Trading preview of the US CPI data today Both CPI and Core CPI are expected to jump again. CPI is expected at 4.7% vs 4.2% pr y/y. Core 3.4% exp vs 3.0% pr y/y. Here's what a lot of the eyeballs are on. Obviously energy inflation is a big part of any inflation data...
GBP faces a test from UK elections and is a BOE taper on the cards?
It could be a choppy time for GBP this week The latter part of this week could bring some waves for GBP, as we have several events coming on Thursday. 1 - Scottish Elections Potentially the biggest event of the lot. The ruling SNP party will want to win a majority...
The changing fortunes of EURUSD and USDJPY
It was one-way traffic for these two pairs in March but April has seen that reverse. Here's a look at what may stop, or help, the trends https://youtu.be/bipXdIJ28AA
Dollar and the three bears
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) - 4X Global Research The US Dollar Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) traded in a narrow range of 1.8% between late-2020 and early March, according to our estimates. The Dollar then embarked on a 3-4 week rally,...
Are we on the cusp of some big FX breaks?
What to do when the levels start stacking up Levels are levels but some are 'more' than others, and we've been noticing that more and more pairs are developing some strong levels Here's 4 pairs that we currently have our beady eyes on in the room. The most obvious one...
EUR pairs finding some firm footing as Europe gets its Coronavirus vaccine act together
Strong bottoms look to be in place in EURUSD and EURGBP, so what's next for these pairs? https://youtu.be/kaW7gWcSbxE
The questions facing EUR
With the EU fighting a massive vaccine PR battle, what is that doing to the euro? https://youtu.be/4lj9rwsnc9c
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