Getting ready for another busy week.
Sunday 17.02.2019 FX retail opening rates. Good evening folks, hope you had a relaxing weekend. Two contradictory stories on Brexit. One says French soften their stance on the backstop, the other said the opposite. On the ex-EU talks we're also getting some updates as...
read moreWhat did we learn this week? – A lesson in making mountains out of molehills
A review of the Forex trading week 15 February 2019 Another rather disjointed week of ranges and moves. Just when you think you might get a break out, something strolls along and tucks it back in the box. Brexit Same old same old waffle and rhetoric but the market...
read moreGBP could hold the keys to some large expiries – Forex options expiries 15 February 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 15 February 2019 There's a couple that could be in play today. EURUSD is right on one now and EURGBP isn't so far away from a big one, nor is GBPUSD. It's in the hands of GBP.
read moreForex option expiries 14 February 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 14 February 2019 An exceedingly light board today but EURUSD has some size here at 1.1300
read moreForex options expiries 13 February 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 13 February 2019 There's very little options protection on the downside in EURUSD. As noted earlier today, we've had new barrier information that has been has been provided to subscribers of the ForexFlow...
read moreWhat’s the trade for the US CPI data?
Some levels to watch over the data In USDJPY I'm watching 110.25/30 & 110.00 on the downside and 111.40/50 on the upside. The area in and around 111 is a consideration but that depends on where the price is over the data. 110.75/80 remains the top so far and...
read moreUK CPI comes in a touch softer in January 2019
January 2019 UK CPI, PPI, RPI price inflation data 13 February 2019 CPI 1.8% vs 1.9% exp y/y. Prior 2.1% -0.8% vs -0.7% exp m/m. Prior 0.2% Core CPI 1.9% vs 1.9% exp/Prior y/y -0.8% vs -0.8% exp m/m. Prior 0.3% CPIH 1.8% vs 1.9% exp y/y. Prior 2.0% RPI -0.9% vs -0.8%...
read moreForex options expiries 11 February 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 11 February 2019 Not much on the radar today.
read moreUK economy suffers another Brexit induced decline as GDP and production drop
UK preliminary GDP for Q4 2018 and December 2018 Industrial production and trade balance data 11 February 2019 Q4 2018 GDP prelim 0.2% vs 0.2% exp q/q. Prior 0.6% 1.3% vs 1.4% exp y//y. Prior 1.5%. Revised to 1.6% Business investment -1.4% vs -1.1% prior q/q -3.7% vs...
read moreFX retail opening rates 10.02.2019.
The complete overview. Quiet.... or not? USDCHF jumps 50p on the open. I Don't see any specific news for now. Maybe some stops are responsible ...
read moreAnother neurons intensive week ahead.
FX opening Sunday 10.02.2019 Good evening, morning all. I hope you are well rested before another event packed week. The weekend news was not really market moving albeit depressing again. -Brexit is omni present, CBI says no-deal risks have increased. Labour seeks a...
read moreWhat did we learn this week? – We’re on the highway to hell
A review of the Forex trading week 8 February 2019 What a dour week that was! We’ve had to work hard for the pips this week eh? Central bankers may love the lower vol but it’s a pain in the bum for us traders. I’ll write off USDJPY right now. A 50-pip range for most...
read moreForex option expiries 8 February 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 8 February 2019 0.7090/0.7100 looks to be locking in AUDUSD into the expiry.
read moreForex options expiries 7 February 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 7 February 2019 Some decent strikes lurking but mostly away from current levels. USDMXN has a decent batch at market.
read moreTrading preview – The BOE will remain stuck in limbo
GBP trading preview of the Bank of England monetary policy meeting 7 February 2019 Once more we delve into the minds of the central bankers as the BOE is up today. Once again we're faced with little to no expectations for the meeting. BBG see zero chance of a policy...
read moreForex options expiries 6 February 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00) GMT New York cut 6 February 2019 USDJPY is the closest large one today.
read moreAUDUSD hit by a Lowe blow – What’s the next trade?
AUDUSD hits a fresh Lowe Look at that, two plays on the word "Lowe/Low" to open things up. That's value for money folks 😀 This week so far has seen the Aussie driving on both sides of the street. The market took the RBA meeting as less dovish/more hawkish and jumped,...
read moreGo With The Flow trade ideas 6 February 2019
It's the middle of the week already, where does the time go? Time flies when you're having fun, and the fun continues in today's trading. AUD is the prime mover today and I don't agree with the scale of moves we're seeing (more on that coming in another post). Markets...
read moreForex options expiries 5 February 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 5 February 2019 USDJPY is still hugging the 110 area and it's where we have a reasonably sized expiry.
read moreJoin me today on the F.A.C.E (Dale Pinkert Show)
Register for the Forex Analytix webinar Tuesday 5th February from 13.00 GMT Tomorrow I have the pleasure of meeting up with Dale Pinkert from Forex Analytix on his regular webinar. Dale has been in the game for many years and has seen it all and bought the T-Shirt....
read moreForex options expiries 4 February 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 4 February 2019 USDJPY with the closest action and a combined 2.1bn around 110.00.
read moreGo With The Flow trade ideas 4 February 2019
Welcome to a new week in a new month As Dubs sails off into the sunset to enjoy his second New Year of 2019, the rest of us have our noses to the grindstone, so what's on the trading cards today? As per my weekend post, I'm still in a USDCNH trade taken last week. I...
read more新年快乐 财源滚滚 大吉大利 A Happy wealthy healthy New Year to all our Chinese friends
Best wishes and compliments of the season to all our readers and the people in the ForexFlow trading room from across the region. I'm spending the duration of the holiday with my wife's family. All thoughts of dieting are on hold as the smells from the kitchen begin...
read moreThis month’s NFP champion is reader SRDJA
The winner of the ForexFlow NFP competition for January The winner of the January 2019 Non-farm payrolls is SRDJA with 216k. We'll, actually the official Champion is JackB with 250k but he's a member of the room already, so he gets the crown and SRDJA gets the prize....
read moreForex options expiries 1 February 2019
Forex option expiries for the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 1 February 2019 1.1500 in EURUSD is about the only decent sized expiry near by.
read moreThe “Kudlow nod” pays off in the January 2019 US Non-farm payrolls
January 2019 US non-farm payrolls and labour market date 1 February 2019 Non-farm payrolls 304k vs 165k exp. Prior 312k. Revised to 222k Private payrolls 296k vs 170k exp. Prior 301k. Revised to 206k Manufacturing payrolls 13k vs 17k exp. Prior 32k. Revised to 20k...
read moreChinese growth slowdown – Project Fear? 4X Global Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) 31 January 2019 The ongoing trade war between the US and China undoubtedly contributed to the slowdown in Chinese GDP growth to a nine-year low of 6.4% yoy in Q4 and (re)ignited concerns that China is in trouble....
read moreHuge expiry dragging USDCNH down – Forex options expiries 31 January 2019
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 31 January 2019 There's some massive expiries in USDCNH. These could be some last hedges before the Chinese New Year holidays next week. 6.70 is the big one. EURGBP also with a large one too and we might just...
read moreWin free access to the ForexFlow trading platform in our Non-farm payrolls competition
We may be short most of the US data but the NFP is fit and raring to go, so enter our competition here February's NFP is already upon us and so it's time to open the ForexFlow NFP competition. Get closest to the jobs number and you could win a 1 month pass to the...
read moreGo With The Flow trade ideas – The FOMC aftermath 31 January 2018
A new dawn and and a new theme for USD after the FOMC Powell putting the Fed's gear firmly into neutral pretty much gave the market the confirmation of the way it was leaning anyway. Rates could go up, rates could go down. Overall, the damage hasn't been too bad with...
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