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Getting slowly ready for another round

Sunday 19.08.2018 FX Opening rates Good evening dear Forexflow readers. I hope you had a relaxing weekend. Here we go again for an interesting week, where politics of all sorts will for sure have a say again in where FX will sail into before we all leave for Jackson...

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Trade wars? It’s all a joke. We have a plan.

Friday 17.08.2018 FX closing rates Look see, with all that went and goes on, take away some already fragile and stubborn EM currencies, sentiment is closing the week much more positive than where it started . A long term money manager, having dumped the TRY and ZAR...

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A big thank you for a superb week all round

Another great week ends Once again, the curtain comes down on a very eventful week. I finish the week chopping a slice off my USDMXN short at 18.85 as the US announce they drop sweeping demands on farming exports. Mexico and the US seem to be getting it done so a...

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Lira collapse post-mortem: Contagion lite

Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from Olivier Desbarres at 4X Global Research 17 August 2018 Since 5th August the Turkish Lira is down about 17% versus the Dollar and 15% in nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) terms and the concern remains that any...

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UK retail sales July 2018 0.7% vs 0.2% exp m/m

July 2018 UK retail sales data 16 August 2018 Prior -0.5% 3.5% vs 3.0% exp y/y. Prior 2.9% Ex-fuel 0.9% vs 0.1% exp m/m. Prior -0.6% 3.7% vs 2.8% exp y/y. Prior 3.0% Sales in food were strong due to the weather and world cup. ONS Notes: Food sales continued to benefit...

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Market moves and other musings

That old chestnut of a saying comes to mind  'Be careful what you wish for'.   Early last week many of us were bemoaning the lack of market volatility. Since then there has been a scramble to pick a side . I would love to report that I am short EURUSD, GBPUSD or long...

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