Forex options expiries 14 December 2018
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 14 December 2018 EURUSD is currently sitting (1.1270) between the two big expiries today at 1.1250 & 1.1300. USDJPY has one at 113.70/80 (currently...
read moreUS core retail sales come in strong in November 2018
November 2018 US retail sales data 14 December 2018 Retail sales 0.2% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior 0.8%. Revised to 1.1% Ex-autos 0.2% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior 0.7%. Revised to 1.0% Ex-gas/autos 0.5% vs vs 0.3% prior. Revised to 0.7% Control group 0.9% vs 0.4% exp m/m. Prior...
read moreGo with the Flow – Friday 14 December 2018
Here are today’s Trading views and Ideas for the day ahead. Let us know what you are looking at – Charts – Trade chatter – Trade positions. The Flow traders are available throughout the day to help out with your questions – Share trade set-ups and keep you updated...
read moreEurozone Markit flash manufacturing and services PMI’s tumble in December 2018
December 2018 Eurozone Markit flash manufacturing and services PMI's 14 December 2018 Manufacturing 51.4 vs 51.9 exp. Prior 51.8 Services 51.4 vs 53.5 exp. Prior 53.4 Composite 51.3 vs 52.8 exp. Prior 52.7 Getting precariously close to the contraction level. It's all...
read moreECB leaves EURUSD in the middle of two large expiries
Forex option expiries for the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 13 December 2018 1.1290/1.1300 and 1.1350 hold the big one's in EURUSD...
read moreECB’s historical QE program goes out with a whimper
Highlights of the ECB press conference following the December 2018 ECB governing council meeting 13 December 2018 Opening remarks; Incoming data were weaker than expected Weaker data reflects softer external demands Inflation will continue to converge after buying...
read moreECB leaves interest rates unchanged and confirms the end of QE
Details from the December 2018 ECB governing council meeting 13 December 2018 Main interest rate 0.0% Deposit rate -0.40% Marginal lending rate 0.25% Notes; Will reinvest for an extended period and passed a rate increase Expects rates to remain at their present levels...
read moreECB trading preview: The end of the road but not the journey
Here's what to look for from the ECB Today marks the end of the ECB’s QE program, sort of. By the end of this month they would have racked up nearly $3tn in government and corporate assets. Has it been a success? That’s a very open question but one we don’t need to...
read moreGo with the Flow – Thursday 13 December 2018
Here are today’s Trading views and Ideas for the day ahead. Let us know what you are looking at – Charts – Trade chatter – Trade positions. The Flow traders are available throughout the day to help out with your questions – Share trade set-ups and keep you updated...
read moreUS EIA weekly oil inventories draw less than expected w/e 7 December 2018
US weekly oil inventory data w/e 7 December 2018 Oil inventories -1.208m vs -3.500m exp. Prior -7.323m OPD -10.180m Cushing 1.148m vs 1.729m prior. OPD 0.642m Gasoline 2.087m vs 2.250m exp. Prior 1.699m. OPD -2.484m Distillates -1.475m vs 1.850m exp. Prior 3.811m. OPD...
read more1.1300 in EURUSD is the standout in today’s Forex options expiries 12 December 2018
Forex options expiring at the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 12 December 2018 1.1300 has a big roll-off but we're a tad far away at 1.1353 (at time of post). For all the Brexit news, and what was the expected vote yesterday, we've not seen much in the way of options...
read moreUS CPI in as expected in November 2018 but wages are softer
November 2018 US CPI inflation data 12 December 2018 CPI 2.2% vs 2.2% exp y/y. Prior 2.5% 0.0% vs 0.0% exp m/m. Prior 0.3% Core 2.2% vs 2.2% exp y/y. Prior 2.1% 0.2% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior 0.2% Real weekly earnings -0.1% vs 0.3% exp m/m. Prior 0.1% 0.5% vs 0.9% prior...
read moreGo with the Flow – Wednesday 12 December 2018
Here are today’s Trading views and Ideas for the day ahead. Let us know what you are looking at – Charts – Trade chatter – Trade positions. The Flow traders are available throughout the day to help out with your questions – Share trade set-ups and keep you updated...
read moreMay confidence vote triggered – Here’s what happens next and what it means for GBP
Crunch time again for Theresa May as the threshold for a no-confidence vote in Theresa May is reached After several months of trying, the Conservative rebels have finally made it to 48 letters of no-confidence in Theresa May. The wheels are now moving very quickly on...
read moreEURUSD pushes away from a large expiry and barriers pile up
Forex option expiries for the 10am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 11 December 2018 The current move in EURUSD has pushed it below a big expiry at 1.1360/70 so we'll have to see if we get a reaction into the expiry. We've also got increased important barrier action in...
read moreUS Nov 2018 PPI m/m 0.1% vs 0.0% expected
US November PPI data on 11.12.2018 Prior 0.6% PPI y/y 2.5% vs 2.5% exp, prior 2.9% PPI ex food/energy m/m 0.3% vs 0.1% exp, prior 0.5% PPI ex food/ energy y/y 2.7% vs 2.5% exp; prior 2.6% Smalls higher than expected on the core but nothing to unsettle this market. USD...
read moreIncreased market volatility is leading to clearing houses struggling to cope with margin processes
Market clearing houses face a battle to regulate margin processes as volatility ramps up and machine trading increases The WSJ has an interesting piece out on how the current volatility in markets is playing havoc with margin calculations. The long and short of it is...
read moreBrexit update – May’s mad dash before the EU bash
Where are we now on Brexit? As usual, nothing in Brexit goes according to plan. Here's where we are; The meaningful vote has been cancelled as May saw the stark reality of the size of the possible defeat after canvassing her party members. She's now headed to Brussels...
read moreUK labour market report shows a good boost to wages in October 2018
November 2018 UK labour market report 11 December 2018 Claimant count 21.9k vs 20.2k prior Oct ILO unemployment rate 4.1% vs 4.1% exp. Prior 4.1% Average weekly earnings 3.3% vs 3.0% exp 3m y/y. Prior 3.0% Ex-bonus 3.3% vs 3.2% exp. Prior 3.2% Employment change 79k vs...
read moreGo with the Flow – Tuesday 11 December 2018
Here are today’s Trading views and Ideas for the day ahead. Let us know what you are looking at – Charts – Trade chatter – Trade positions. The Flow traders are available throughout the day to help out with your questions – Share trade set-ups and keep you updated...
read moreAnnouncing the ForexFlow Christmas traders meet up extravaganza
It's going to be party time in ForexFlow land This Friday 14th December you are all cordially invited to the ForexFlow Christmas drink up. We're returning to the venue of last year at The Porterhouse near London's Covent Garden. We'd love for you to join us so that we...
read moreSome old hedges rolling off in the Scandies – Forex option expiries 10 December 2018
Forex options expiring at the 10 am (15.00 GMT) New York cut 10 December 2018 not a lot of action close by today but there's a bunch of large expiries rolling off today across EURSEK and EURNOK. Looking at the break down's they've mostly been put on earlier this year...
read moreWatch out for broker margin changes in GBP over the next couple of days
Margins are already being hiked in some GBP markets Something to watch out for over the next few hours. We've been informed that CMC North America has doubled GBP margins to 8% from 4% effective end of day. It's likely to be the same across all their accounts and...
read moreUK data: ONS says Q3 GDP likely to be revised down after October 2018 industrial production and trade data
October 2018 UK industrial production, GDP and trade balance data 10 December 2018 Industrial production -0.6% vs 0.1% exp m/m. Prior 0.0% -0.8% vs -0.2% exp y/y. Prior 0.0% Manufacturing output -0.9% vs 0.0% exp m/m. Prior 0.2% -1.0% vs 0.0% exp. Prior 0.5%...
read moreGo with the Flow – Monday 10 December 2018
Here are today’s Trading views and Ideas for the day ahead. Let us know what you are looking at – Charts – Trade chatter – Trade positions. The Flow traders are available throughout the day to help out with your questions – Share trade set-ups and keep you updated...
read moreAnother big week starts .
FX opening rates on 09.12.2018. Good morning, afternoon, evening everyone. I hope you had a peaceful and restful weekend. Most of the weekend press is to be found on our "home" tab. Another "yellow vest" destruction weekend in France and a bit in Belgium, Macron will...
read moreHere are the best options for trading the most important Brexit period so far
It’s another ‘D-Day’ for Theresa May as she puts the Brexit deal to Parliament for approval. Here's the safest ways to trade it. We’ve had some key moments in the Brexit journey so far but this week looks set to be the biggest yet. Not only do we have UK Parliament...
read moreVerdict of week 49 2018 in FX land.
FX closing rates on...
read moreWhat did we learn this week? – BOC’s Poloz pulled another Jekyll and Hyde routine
What rocked out boats this week? Another whirlwind week draws to a close. Is it me or are they flying by? Only two more to go and then we can all have a break. We started the week on a positive note with the Trump/Xi love fest at full bloom. Statements were S.W.A.L.K...
read moreUS Michigan consumer sentiment unchanged in December but inflation expectations drop
December 2018 flash US Michigan consumer sentiment data 7 December 2018 Consumer sentiment 97.5 vs 97.0 expPrior 97.5 Current conditions 115.2 113.1 exp. Prior 112.3 Expectations 86.1 vs 88.3 exp. Prior 88.1 1yr inflation expectations 2.7% vs 2.8% exp 5yr 2.4% vs 2.6%...
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