Flow Data and Calendar
Keep updated on the economic data and market moving events day to day.
#Canada #Employment report preview.
Another belter or? First a warning: StatsCan reports can be volatile. We've seen enough huge revisions to prior reports to always make sure to keep the bag of salt close to hand when they produce data. This being said, we've had increasingly good Canadian labour...
$CNH living on hopium? Big week for the Yuan this.
An outlook on the CNH drivers. #US- #China Phase One to be signed. Reinstatement of semi annual talks with China (outside trade talks), which Trump abolished earlier during his tenure. Expectations for China trade balance to rebound in Dec (out tomorrow). Expectations...
A mildly positive risk market on the open?
The weekend press headlines. Good Sunday evening, Monday morning fellow FX traders. -Give an take a bit of political banter, it seems the weekend got a little better as it progressed from China's political banter at the WTO yesterday into tighter IP protection rules...
A huge USD week. This time it’s different, isn’t it?
Preview on what's to come for the mighty dollar. It's some block of data and decisions we're getting second half of this week. We start with GDP, core PCE followed by the FOMC rate decision and presser today. Tomorrow we're having another round of PCE, personal income...
The lean green salad NFP’s
US labour report preview 02.08.2019 What is supposed to be the main course of day could turn out to be nothing more than a small starter in the light of everything that's going around on trade and geopolitics in this world. But traders we are so we will be looking for...
The ten days dive into the unknown.
A Japanese Emperor change is coming. Hi all, I needed to read this FT article a few times to make sure I got it right. Japan will virtually be out for TEN DAYS when Emperor Akihito will abdicate and be replaced by his son Naruhito. From 27th April ongoing, that's a...
Simple preview on Canadian employment report.
Canada labour report 08.03.2019 TGIF! The employment data have been strong over the past 5 months, consistently beating expectations with the exception of January. At the same time we saw a positive rotation between full and part-time jobs. Today the employment change...
UK CPI comes in a touch softer in January 2019
January 2019 UK CPI, PPI, RPI price inflation data 13 February 2019 CPI 1.8% vs 1.9% exp y/y. Prior 2.1% -0.8% vs -0.7% exp m/m. Prior 0.2% Core CPI 1.9% vs 1.9% exp/Prior y/y -0.8% vs -0.8% exp m/m. Prior 0.3% CPIH 1.8% vs 1.9% exp y/y. Prior 2.0% RPI -0.9% vs -0.8%...
UK economy suffers another Brexit induced decline as GDP and production drop
UK preliminary GDP for Q4 2018 and December 2018 Industrial production and trade balance data 11 February 2019 Q4 2018 GDP prelim 0.2% vs 0.2% exp q/q. Prior 0.6% 1.3% vs 1.4% exp y//y. Prior 1.5%. Revised to 1.6% Business investment -1.4% vs -1.1% prior q/q -3.7% vs...
The “Kudlow nod” pays off in the January 2019 US Non-farm payrolls
January 2019 US non-farm payrolls and labour market date 1 February 2019 Non-farm payrolls 304k vs 165k exp. Prior 312k. Revised to 222k Private payrolls 296k vs 170k exp. Prior 301k. Revised to 206k Manufacturing payrolls 13k vs 17k exp. Prior 32k. Revised to 20k...
The big tournament week for the AUD starts tonight.
Getting ready for potentially serious moves The week starting tonight has the potential to show us the direction for AUD, and probably NZD in the distance, for a decent amount of time. It starts with the CPI tonight, we're going to have credit and housing data on...
US EIA weekly oil inventories jump
US weekly oil inventory data w/e 18 January 2018 Crude oil inventories 7.970m vs -0.750m exp. Prior -2.683m OPD 6.550m Cushing -0.190m vs -0.743m prior. OPD 0.360m Gasoline 4.050m vs 3.000m exp. Prior 7.503m. OPD 3.640m Distillates -0.617m vs 0.900m exp. Prior 2.967m....
Flash Eurozone PMI data underscores uncertainty in January 2019
January 2019 flash Eurozone Markit manufacturing and services PMI's 24 January 2019 Manufacturing PMI 50.5 vs 51.4 exp. Prior 51.4 Services 50.8 vs 51.5 exp. Prior 51.2 Composite 50.7 vs 51.4 exp. Prior 51.1 Deteriorating exports contributed to the disappointing order...
UK labour market employment jumps in December 2018
December 2018 UK labour market report and public sector finances 22 January 2019 Dec claimant count December 2018 20.8k vs 20.0k exp. Prior 21.9k Nov ILO unemployment rate 4.0% vs 4.1% exp/prior Average weekly earnings 3.4% vs 3.3% exp 3m y/y. Prior 3.3% Ex bonus 3.3%...
UK December 2018 CPI drops but the core ticks up
December 2018 UK CPI, PPI and RPI inflation data 16 January 2019 CPI December 2018 2.1% vs 2.1% exp y/y. Prior 2.3% 0.2% vs 0.2% exp/prior m/m Core 1.9% vs 1.8% exp/prior y/y 0.3% vs 0.3% exp/prior m/m RPI 0.4% vs 0.5% exp m/m. Prior 0.0% 2.7% vs 2.95%exp y/y. Prior...
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