Central Banks
A huge amount of market moves revolves around the interest rate policies of national central banks. Here you can read and search for all the latest and historical news from global central banks and their armies of chattering governing members.
Has the EUR worm turned?
Have we seen some game changing ECB speakers? We've had a slew of hawks coming out but it's really been de Guindos today that's been the key one for me. Looking back over prior speeches, he's been more cautious about the path of tightening. He wanted to end QE first,...
Central banks are in trouble again
Ukraine/Russia conflict is going to exacerbate problems for the world's central banks Do you know what a central bank doesn't want when it's trying to play catch up on an inflation shock? It's another inflationary shock piled on top of the first one. If you've been...
US Fed FOMC preview – The taper that doesn’t matter
Some final thoughts for today's FOMC As you might expect, our chatrooms this past week has been full of central bank talk and who might do what and when, and now attention has turned to the Fed. I'll start by repeating that I don't think the taper is a big deal at...
RBA shifts, AUD shuffles:
The cracks have appeared in the RBA's stance Half of me is surprised that AUD hasn't reacted better to that, the other half isn't after seeing the FX reaction to the BOC and ECB, so think we're not really trading (these) CB's properly right now. Maybe some sell the...
Canada and CAD are the least important aspects of today’s Bank of Canada meeting
Today's BOC meeting may have far greater consequences than just what affects Canada Obviously not dismissing the trading impact of the BOC on CAD, or Canada in general but that may not be the big news. There's many folks thinking that the BOC will try and rein in...
BOE preview – Changing of the guard and look out for an algo quirk
Bank of England time! A bit of a changing of the guard going on. Haldane was the only voter to cut QE at the last meeting and he's now gone. This is Vlieghe's last meeting so it doesn't really matter what his view are but just for reference, he's for keeping policy as...
How might Central banks enact FX intervention?
With rising talk about direct Forex intervention, what might central banks do? We like to be ahead of the game at ForexFlow, hence the warning about an increase in intervention talk 30 mins before two CB's started talking about intervention ? But, how might that...
Banxico preview – What to look for in tonight’s decision
Banco De Mexico is expected to cut rates by 25bps to 7.0%. Here's a preview from our South & Central American expert Jorge The majority of analysts believe the estimates for inflation will allow BANXICO to continue with decreases in the reference interest rate, in...
Brazil Central Bank preview – To cut or hold fire?
BCB preview from our resident South American expert Jorge The Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM) first meeting of 2020 and rate currently at 4.5% per year. There is the possibility of a further 0.25 percentage point reduction in the SELIC rate, to 4.25% per year....
Trading preview – BOE rate decision on a knife edge
One of the most finely balanced rate announcements in a long time There's something to be said for the BOE voting system, it gives us a bit of excitement. However, the market is very split on this one. Rate odds split - 51/49% cut/hold. We're split in the room. Banks...
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