The Reuters ECB story has sparked a big discussion in our trading room As per the earlier report, the ECB are apparently looking to tier the deposit rate, effectively giving cashback to banks. That's got EU banking shares up as it means a boost to profits, and it has...read more
A Japanese Emperor change is coming. Hi all, I needed to read this FT article a few times to make sure I got it right. Japan will virtually be out for TEN DAYS when Emperor Akihito will abdicate and be replaced by his son Naruhito. From 27th April ongoing, that's a...read more
Norges Bank stands tall and raises rates. It was expected, they delivered. But they delivered much more than just a 25 bps expected rate hike from 0.75% to 1%. They steepened the rate path by bringing forward the next expected rate hike from Q3 2019 to June and...read more
It's the BOE's turn to announce its latest monetary policy stance 21 March 2019 A pretty quick BOE preview because I don't think there's going to be much coming from them. Expect Largely a repeat of the last meeting and inflation report Focus is on risks like trade,...read more
It's FOMC time and the market is going to be on the hunt for clues from Fed's Powell All the previews in the world that come and go over these events can usually all be summed up in one metric. For the Fed, the FFR rate probabilities is one of the best. The market is...read more
Forex trading preview ahead of the Bank of Canada monetary policy decision 6 March 2019 Trading today's BOC decision is a question of judging expectations. CAD has been on the slide since the GDP report and I'm wondering whether it's gone too far because the market...read more
06.03.2019 Bank of Canada preview. In short, there should be no change in monetary policy, the current conditions are expected roughly balanced between a good job market and the weaker GDP . But that's where it ends. Where we had an upbeat picture painted by Poloz and...read more
GBP trading preview of the Bank of England monetary policy meeting 7 February 2019 Once more we delve into the minds of the central bankers as the BOE is up today. Once again we're faced with little to no expectations for the meeting. BBG see zero chance of a policy...read more
Federal reserve interest rate decision 30.01.2019 Removes the reference to "further gradual " interest rates increases. Also prepared to adjust balance sheet normalisation. Holds rates, pledges patience on future moves. To continue with current floor approach to...read more
Getting ready for potentially serious moves The week starting tonight has the potential to show us the direction for AUD, and probably NZD in the distance, for a decent amount of time. It starts with the CPI tonight, we're going to have credit and housing data on...read more
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