Highlights of the ECB press conference following the December 2018 ECB governing council meeting 13 December 2018 Opening remarks; Incoming data were weaker than expected Weaker data reflects softer external demands Inflation will continue to converge after buying...read more
Details from the December 2018 ECB governing council meeting 13 December 2018 Main interest rate 0.0% Deposit rate -0.40% Marginal lending rate 0.25% Notes; Will reinvest for an extended period and passed a rate increase Expects rates to remain at their present levels...read more
Here's what to look for from the ECB Today marks the end of the ECB’s QE program, sort of. By the end of this month they would have racked up nearly $3tn in government and corporate assets. Has it been a success? That’s a very open question but one we don’t need to...read more
After today's economic data (which wasn't that bad), there's been a big shift in Fed expectations We've had quite a change in the hike odds since the data today. BBG sees Dec at 61.0% vs 72.4% pre-data. RTRS is now 70.4% vs 75.6% prior. The bigger story is that the...read more
BOC monetary policy decision on 05.12.2018 Inflation may be rising slower than expected. Rate pace to be influenced by trade policy, rate sensitivity and oil prices. Expect less growth momentum in Q4. Appropriate rate path depends on "number of factors. A dovish...read more
With two decisive central bank meetings in December I had a look at a potential trading strategy December is going to be a big month for two central banks particularly. The ECB is looking to end QE and the Fed is set to give us the fourth hike of 2018. In some...read more
Tomorrow's Mexico CB interest rate preview on 14.11.2018. Good FT piece(Mexico AMLO vs financial markets.) on the context that lead to the MXN selloff we're seeing. We've mentioned most of them along the road, but I must admit the confidence investors put into...read more
Details from the November 2018 US Fed FOMC monetary policy meeting 8 November 2018 Prior rate 2.00% -2.25% November 8, 2018 Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and...read more
It's the November FOMC meeting today, here's what to expect Here's how to trade tonight's FOMC. Read this: BBG hike odds 13.4% RTRS hike odds 5.8% 2. Do this; In all seriousness, there is very little expectation for this one, with the market baking in the...read more
RBNZ monetary policy decision on 07.11.2018 RBNZ sees average OCR at 1.75% in Q1 2020, 1.81% in Q2 2020, 1.88% in Q3 2020, 1.96% in Q4 2020. RBNZ SAYS EXPECTS TO KEEP THE OCR AT THIS LEVEL THROUGH 2019 AND INTO 2020...read more
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