Central Banks
A huge amount of market moves revolves around the interest rate policies of national central banks. Here you can read and search for all the latest and historical news from global central banks and their armies of chattering governing members.
BOE preview – Changing of the guard and look out for an algo quirk
Bank of England time! A bit of a changing of the guard going on. Haldane was the only voter to cut QE at the last meeting and he's now gone. This is Vlieghe's last meeting so it doesn't really matter what his view are but just for reference, he's for keeping policy as...
How might Central banks enact FX intervention?
With rising talk about direct Forex intervention, what might central banks do? We like to be ahead of the game at ForexFlow, hence the warning about an increase in intervention talk 30 mins before two CB's started talking about intervention ? But, how might that...
Banxico preview – What to look for in tonight’s decision
Banco De Mexico is expected to cut rates by 25bps to 7.0%. Here's a preview from our South & Central American expert Jorge The majority of analysts believe the estimates for inflation will allow BANXICO to continue with decreases in the reference interest rate, in...
Brazil Central Bank preview – To cut or hold fire?
BCB preview from our resident South American expert Jorge The Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM) first meeting of 2020 and rate currently at 4.5% per year. There is the possibility of a further 0.25 percentage point reduction in the SELIC rate, to 4.25% per year....
Trading preview – BOE rate decision on a knife edge
One of the most finely balanced rate announcements in a long time There's something to be said for the BOE voting system, it gives us a bit of excitement. However, the market is very split on this one. Rate odds split - 51/49% cut/hold. We're split in the room. Banks...
$CNH living on hopium? Big week for the Yuan this.
An outlook on the CNH drivers. #US- #China Phase One to be signed. Reinstatement of semi annual talks with China (outside trade talks), which Trump abolished earlier during his tenure. Expectations for China trade balance to rebound in Dec (out tomorrow). Expectations...
A huge USD week. This time it’s different, isn’t it?
Preview on what's to come for the mighty dollar. It's some block of data and decisions we're getting second half of this week. We start with GDP, core PCE followed by the FOMC rate decision and presser today. Tomorrow we're having another round of PCE, personal income...
Is USDJPY back in the long-term range, or sucking us all in ahead of the Fed?
As we head to the September 2019 FOMC, USDJPY is looking more solid. How should we trade it from here? https://youtu.be/N-addccX8co
It’s Fed’s meditation time
Short, sweet FOMC preview 18.09.2019. What do we expect from today's meeting: 25bps cut done. No immediate QE but leaving the door open. IOER cut: depending on where the Fed puts it between the Fed funds posts will be our barometer for their worries. the closer they...
Here’s how to trade the ECB
Forex trading preview of the September 2019 ECB meeting Here we are at one of the most anticipated ECB meetings for a long while. Rate cut expectations stand at 100%, with a 10bp cut at 66.8% and a 20bp cut at 33.2%. Restarting QE expectations range from 30-50bn a...
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