Flow Technical Analysis
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Norges Bank stands tall and raises rates. It was expected, they delivered. But they delivered much more than just a 25 bps expected rate hike from 0.75% to 1%. They steepened the rate path by bringing forward the next expected rate hike from Q3 2019 to June and...read more
It's FOMC time and the market is going to be on the hunt for clues from Fed's Powell All the previews in the world that come and go over these events can usually all be summed up in one metric. For the Fed, the FFR rate probabilities is one of the best. The market is...read more
Today we're looking at what's driving (or not driving) USDJPY and a trading opportunity into the US Fed FOMC Ahead of Wednesday's US Fed FOMC we look at the trading opportunities for USDJPY and also what's affecting the price right now. https://youtu.be/EkFRebxmuUcread more
GBP has been holding up well despite the bad news of a deal being voted down On paper, the remaining outcomes for Brexit still leave no-deal at the bottom of the risk pile and that's keeping the pound well supported. However, that line of thinking is seriously lacking...read more
Canada labour report 08.03.2019 TGIF! The employment data have been strong over the past 5 months, consistently beating expectations with the exception of January. At the same time we saw a positive rotation between full and part-time jobs. Today the employment change...read more
The market gets full-on bearish over the Euro If you read some of the analysis following yesterday's ECB meeting you'd think he euro was about to head to zero. We're in one of those situations where fear and negativity shouts louder than positive news and events. The...read more
06.03.2019 Bank of Canada preview. In short, there should be no change in monetary policy, the current conditions are expected roughly balanced between a good job market and the weaker GDP . But that's where it ends. Where we had an upbeat picture painted by Poloz and...read more
Markets see a bit of a divergence in US interest rate expectations Some of the doom and gloom has come out of expectations for the US economy. Powell & Co may still be preaching patience but they're also still preaching that the US economy is doing ok. The GDP...read more
GBP is still taking shorts to the cleaners but where might it stop? GBPUSD A minor high around 1.3360 stands in the way of a move to the 50 fib of the 2018 swing. That level is open to interpretation due to the level of the flash crash low, which might differ between...read more
Option players are playing the gamma game in EURUSD as vols tumble If you think it looks like the life has been sucked out of EURUSD you'd be right. The lower volatility conditions are being aided by traders using whatever means they can to squeeze out the pips. To...read more
A look at what levels are in play. Looking at how he market has build up to this meeting and the amplitude of the moves that went paired with it, we need to look at the wider picture. The market is really expecting or hoping better said for the EU to give in to some...read more
AUDUSD hits a fresh Lowe Look at that, two plays on the word "Lowe/Low" to open things up. That's value for money folks 😀 This week so far has seen the Aussie driving on both sides of the street. The market took the RBA meeting as less dovish/more hawkish and jumped,...read more
Getting ready for potentially serious moves The week starting tonight has the potential to show us the direction for AUD, and probably NZD in the distance, for a decent amount of time. It starts with the CPI tonight, we're going to have credit and housing data on...read more
Catching up with EURUSD after the ECB meeting A dull ECB meeting left EURUSD playing between the well defined lines. Here's how things stand now. We also look at GBPUSD into the next big Brexit event. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W6buJ2ACxW0read more
I've been bullish both precious metals since the end of last year. The future looks bright from a chart perspective . Much is written about the seasonal nature of gold. The Chinese and Indian festival buying sprees. As with all seasonal 'trends', this does not always...read more
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