There’s double trouble for the Euro

  • Euro ignores better than expected German Industrial production & trade balance data
  • Yen strength an early driver through Asia and due to BOJ scaling down bond purchases. USD buying picks up early in Europe
  • Price holding well below 1.20 with strong resistance at 1.1980. 55 H4MA at 1.1982. 200 H1MA at 1.1988
  • 38.2 fib of Dec swing up broken at 1.1946
  • Next support is minor at 1.1935, 1.1920, 1.1910, 100 H4Ma at 1.1908, stronger at 1.1900, 50.0 fib of Dec move at 1.1902
  • Resistance over 1.1980 at 1.2000/10, 1.2020/25, 1.2040/50
  • Huge options expiry at 1.1985 vanilla and digital 2.32bn
  • Vols still hovering at multi-year lows. EURUSD 1m ATM 5.79. All time low 5.20 seen mid-Dec

 

EURUSD H4 chart

EURUSD H4 chart

 

Ryan Littlestone

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