The 1.20 level was a psychological and technically important one

We look toi have had some resolution of the 1.20-1.21 range with waht looks to be a solid break through 1.20. The most important aspet about this move is that we’ve already had confirmation of the break as 1.20 has now become resistance almost instantly.

EURUSD 15m chart

EURUSD 15m chart

That sort of confirmation is very important when looking at break trading. For now, 1.20 resistance will be steadily building and no doubt stops will be building also from break shorts.

We are now faced with the prospect of seeing the euro push lower. I see no decent possible support traffic until the 1.1960/68 and then the 1.1935/45 area.

EURUSD H4 chart

EURUSD H4 chart

There’s been some USD strength through Asia and this morning but it’s not that widespread and it looks like the yen crosses have been aiding the falls in the majors too. There’s no news behind the moves so what we’re seeing is just some ranging, and as Patrick has just prompted, if it can’t go up, there’s only only one way it can go. So, play the levels as they are and don’t over-commit to any trades. We may still return back to 1.20 if this tide turns so watch the PA and trade accordingly.

 

 

Ryan Littlestone

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