BOE Mark Carney press conference 08.02.2018
- UK exporters are in a sweet spot with softer GBP currency and Brexit not yet happened
- Demand growth to exceed supply growth
- Wage growth to increase due to Labour market tightening
- Inflation could exceed 3% in the short term mainly due to energy prices
- UK investment in its shallowest recovery in 50 years –
- Supply capacity to grow only modestly
- UK economy broadly in line with forecasts
- Any rate hike will be gradual but they “could” be sooner
- BOE will not be tied by any specific rate path
- Not talking about pre-crisis level rates
- Timing of the next hike will depend on economic data
- BOE language is similar but not the same as in September …
- Economy cannot grow as fast as it used to without generation inflationary pressures
- Brexit deal will have major consequences for the economy
- Confident that BOE will be a lot better informed on Brexit prospects by end of the year
- BOE will be able to adjust policy as appropriate if there is greater Brexit uncertainty
- Market volatility was extremely low before this, and it is healthier when markets have two-way risk around prices
GBP responded in some fashion to the sooner rate hike expectations. May expectations are now closer to 75% .
We broke above 1.4006 , the 38.2% fibs of the early Feb decline to reach 1.4030s . A small pause could be built in now but I expect high 1.39s to hold retracements.
Latest posts by K-man (see all)
- #Canada #Employment report preview. - November 5, 2021
- Rotation, ROTATION! - November 24, 2020
- $CNH living on hopium? Big week for the Yuan this. - January 13, 2020