The Commitment of Traders net speculative positions report from the CFTC as of Tuesday 21 August 2018
- JPY -47k vs -58k prior
- EUR -5k vs -2k prior
- GBP -72k vs -61k prior
- AUD -50k vs -51k prior
- NZD -25k vs -27k prior
- CAD -27k vs -26k prior
- CHF -47k vs -46k prior
- BTC -1266 vs -1532 prior
- S&P +1391 vs +3085 prior
- US10 -701k vs -699k prior
GBP shorts might be rueing this week after a jump of under 200 pips. They look set to challenge the size of shorts post-Brexit vote. Perhaps a sign of the market’s view of the Brexit progress and possible outcome so far. That’s one currency open to a huge squeeze if a (good) deal gets done.
Little change elsewhere, save for the JPY which saw shorts reduced. Still, the dollar is the currency that everyone want s to hold.
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Hi Ryan (and all). As I am always (way to) late for the GwtF thread.
Decided to follow up Sunday evening on last weeks analysis, with excellent results.
EU, EJ, GJ and (to a lesser degree) GU longs paid off handsomely without looking back, 795 very green points at 1% margin, and (finally) out of the scalping routine, I liked it.
Observing EU’s moves of yesterday and today, got me the feeling it was mostly dealer driven over the last 2 days, with probably a bunch of institutions getting filled and a wall of orders waiting in the 1640-60 area (both directions).
As for Yen, my regression channels correctly predicted a stall of the fall but the (crucial) 1150 level got rejected today (although CNY might have played a role in that)
As for the coming week, I think to stay sidelined come Sunday and Monday, checking out EU & UJ’s PA.
For the entire FXF team (and readers), have a good weekend.
ps: EUR/GBP short looks very promising for next week !
pps: Forgot to mention; the +795 net result for the week included also UJ long with entry at 0988 and exit at 1122.
Well traded AGP. Good to see those pips fly in.