The bond moves explained and what it means for FX

The bond moves explained and what it means for FX

The simple answer is often the best answer We’ve been scratching our heads a bit in our trading room over the bond moves (and others) in recent days. Is it falling Central bank expectations, or fearing a top in inflation, problems over the next US stimulus...
A big song and dance over US inflation

A big song and dance over US inflation

Trading preview of the US CPI data today Both CPI and Core CPI are expected to jump again. CPI is expected at 4.7% vs 4.2% pr y/y. Core 3.4% exp vs 3.0% pr y/y. Here’s what a lot of the eyeballs are on. Obviously energy inflation is a big part of any inflation...
Dollar and the three bears

Dollar and the three bears

Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) – 4X Global Research The US Dollar Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) traded in a narrow range of 1.8% between late-2020 and early March, according to our estimates. The Dollar then embarked on a 3-4 week...
Fed preview – Shock and awe, or Spock and snore?

Fed preview – Shock and awe, or Spock and snore?

The market is going dotty over the Fed The only question today (again) is whether Powell is going to stick to the script or jawbone on rates. Given his recent comments, the logical conclusion (that’s the Spock reference BTW) should be that he sticks to his old...
The simple market explainer

The simple market explainer

Are you struggling to understand the market moves and the explanations for them? If you are, ForexFlow will give you all the explanation you need Not every trader is an economics or finance expert (not many “experts” in this game are actually experts at...

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