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Federal Reserve FOMC meeting today – The hike seems a done deal, the market reaction far less certain .
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morning all
the rate hike is already priced in so the action is
left to the presser ..leaning towards a hawkish presser if not i am
buying the dollar dip that might occur ….
as for eurusd things
could get messy here watch out for the options at fomc time and of
course i am a rally seller yesterday witnessed increase in puts
still a gold rally seller the rallies wont hold above 1300…as for dax longies be aware of taking profit that will occur ahead of ecb tomorrow….
Not sure which direction initially will prevail, think that, at the end of the day, we will be back where we are now, so it will be BTFD or STFS.
In case of BTFD, levels to be eyed are 745 and 728.
In case of STFS, levels to be eyed are 820 and 840.
will see i think the dollar will end up higher
Noooo … how … how … how completely unexpected to hear that from you !
😉
hahhaaa you made me laugh
https://www.tradingview.com/x/vn3Owq4C/ long eurusd at 33. just a scalp trade. not having any idea now
Good morning all,
From now on, it’s money time, well hopefully. The real surprise would be nothing moves.
Traveling light on UK CPI And FOMC day.
-Still, a tad short EURSEK as per yesterday’s update and a midget short USDMXN. Looking for a move close to 21 to add another midget.
-UK’s losing more ministers as per yesterday. JP announces a 500 employee personnel switch due to Brexit and they’re not alone. I’ll be looking to sell cable rallies unless CPI comes in a lot higher.
-Jobbing mode on the rest. USD rate hike baked in. Plots and presser to tell us what to do.
Large 1.1700/20 options could attract on expiry if US PPI’s don’t fall out of bed.
USDJPY is slowly but steadily chewing through exporter offers up to 111. Expected range 110.40-85 till fomc.
USDCAD opens a door if it can clear 1.3050 again. Expect to find bids 1.3000/10 till tonight.
Stay safe and happy hunting
Morning folks…. a light week for me so far with just a few smallish chunks here and there. A few small chunks have been devoted to 2 chunks of stop money overhanging from last week.
Still short DXY CFD and Long WTI`s CFD.
Waiting on UK CPI`s and most of all, the Fed.
Good morning fine traders of ForexFlow.
Unfortunately I will be ducking out of the action shortly as have a funeral to attend. I apologise in advance for my absence in such a busy week. But, that said, you are in more than capable hands with the fine team of Si, Dubs and the K-Man.
On the trading front, I’m still in EURUSD longs and last night after some great discussion in our trading room, jumped into a very small USDMXN short. Kman and the crew have been all over the analysis for that pair and feel it’s a great looking short for the weeks/months ahead. It’s one for the slow cooker, as K would say so I’m happy to build very small positions in as it goes up. As usual, I’ve probably gone way too early but I was impatient to have some skin in the game.
Good luck to you all today.
my deep condolences
– long cable here 1.3320 for a scalp
– the same trades longer term, long AUDNZD, short NZDCAD, long DAX, long GBPCHF, tiny UMXN.
Closed the short EURGBP and short UJPY overnight for an overall tiny gain
not a lot going on except for some scalps
5magics, very good scalp
Nice to be back.
I’m going into today holding nothing, zero , nada . It seems a long time since I’ve been able to say that.
Closed cable short some minutes ago which leaves me flat. I could be tempted in by an Aussie or Kiwi long scalp soon. There again we could be in for several hours of complete boredom and plan on being out of everything before FOMC today.
Best not to overthink this one. I will be chillin’ and getting some rest and trying to stay awake for the big rumble. Another short in USDJPY is top of my list for shorts at some point
so quiet………..
Long EU at 728.
SL at 712.
Edit: Oops, heck of a typo there.
TP at 758.