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Good morning ,
-Small short EURJPY, been trading it around 127.70-128.20, keeping the core in place. It could become a medium term one but not out of it yet, therefor the 129.00/10 should keep the ultimate lid on it.
-Short small EURSEK.
No USD positions ahead of US labour report. There’s been enough swinging this week, showing the market is very nervous as I updated yesterday on the rates and expectations. And I expect it to swing some more depending on the outcome. It could be a bloody Friday on a miss or equity markets and yield could retrace bigglie if the data continue to show US’ outperformance. There’s enough room.
CAD labour report could create a wave or two especially with CAD being already wobbly.
The other movers will be OPEC and the German CDU choosing their post-Merkel leader. Two serious contenders : Anna Kramp-Karrenbauer and Merz, the former more likely to show continuity, the latter a bigger change . Not sure we’ll see an immediate effect on the EUR from it but I expect more nervosity in the second case as Merkel may not make it to the end of her chancellor-ship if he would be elected.
Safe travels and happy hunting today. Be safe out there!