by Ryan Littlestone | July 21st, 2020, 10:13:02 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from 4X Global Research Chinese GDP growth (seasonally-adjusted) was 11.5% qoq in Q2. This was stronger than consensus forecast (+9.6% qoq) and more than reversed Q1 contraction of 9.8% qoq. This record-high growth...
by Ryan Littlestone | June 19th, 2020, 08:23:51 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) – 4X Global Part One of this Five-part series of Insights into the UK economy and financial markets examines the devastating impact which the national lockdown – introduced on 23rd March – has had on domestic economic...
by Ryan Littlestone | June 9th, 2020, 10:58:42 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from 4X Global Research While GDP data for Q1 are now “old” and seemingly of limited use, it makes little sense to forecast global growth in Q2 and beyond without at least knowing the starting point. We estimate,...
by Ryan Littlestone | May 22nd, 2020, 13:49:38 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) – From 4X Global Research Global GDP growth, in year-on-year terms, slowed to -2.7% in Q12020 from +3.1% in Q4 2019 and in quarter-on-quarter terms to -4.5% from +0.6% in Q4, based on growth rates in 14 major...
by Ryan Littlestone | April 29th, 2020, 11:58:24 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from 4X Global Research The BEA will release tomorrow its first estimate of US GDP growth in Q1. Consensus estimate for the quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted annualised rate of growth is -4.0%. If correct this...
