by Ryan Littlestone | March 5th, 2019, 18:03:23 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) – 05 March 2019 In line with our forecasts, the 60bp of central bank rate hikes in 2018 is contributing to the ongoing slowdown in global GDP growth, which we estimate will fall below 3% yoy in Q1 2019 for the first...
by Ryan Littlestone | February 11th, 2019, 09:39:32 | Economic Data, News, UK
UK preliminary GDP for Q4 2018 and December 2018 Industrial production and trade balance data 11 February 2019 Q4 2018 GDP prelim 0.2% vs 0.2% exp q/q. Prior 0.6% 1.3% vs 1.4% exp y//y. Prior 1.5%. Revised to 1.6% Business investment -1.4% vs -1.1% prior q/q -3.7% vs...
by Ryan Littlestone | January 31st, 2019, 17:14:48 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) 31 January 2019 The ongoing trade war between the US and China undoubtedly contributed to the slowdown in Chinese GDP growth to a nine-year low of 6.4% yoy in Q4 and (re)ignited concerns that China is in trouble....
by Ryan Littlestone | January 11th, 2019, 09:33:41 | Economic Data, News, UK
November 2018 UK industrial and manufacturing production, GDP and trade balance data 11 January 2019 Industrial production -0.4% vs 0.2% exp m/m. Prior -0.6% -1.5% vs -0.7% exp y/y. Prior -0.8% Manufacturing production -0.3% vs 0.3% exp m/m. Prior -0.9% -1.1% vs -0.7%...
by Ryan Littlestone | December 21st, 2018, 09:35:53 | Economic Data, News, UK
Q3 2018 UK GDP final revision 21 December 2018 GDP final 0.6% vs 0.6% exp q/q. Prior 0.6%. Q2 0.4% 1.5% vs 1.5% exp y/y. Prior 1.5% Business investment -1.1% vs -1.2% prior q/q -1.8% vs -1.9% prior y/y Exports 1.1% vs 2.7% prior q/q -1.3% vs 0.7% prior y/y Imports...