A big song and dance over US inflation

A big song and dance over US inflation

Trading preview of the US CPI data today Both CPI and Core CPI are expected to jump again. CPI is expected at 4.7% vs 4.2% pr y/y. Core 3.4% exp vs 3.0% pr y/y. Here’s what a lot of the eyeballs are on. Obviously energy inflation is a big part of any inflation...
Dollar and the three bears

Dollar and the three bears

Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) – 4X Global Research The US Dollar Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) traded in a narrow range of 1.8% between late-2020 and early March, according to our estimates. The Dollar then embarked on a 3-4 week...
Fed preview – Shock and awe, or Spock and snore?

Fed preview – Shock and awe, or Spock and snore?

The market is going dotty over the Fed The only question today (again) is whether Powell is going to stick to the script or jawbone on rates. Given his recent comments, the logical conclusion (that’s the Spock reference BTW) should be that he sticks to his old...
Taking stock

Taking stock

We’re seeing signs of consolidation in some pairs so here’s a look at the developing ranges Yesterday I did a video for the folks over at the Investing Channel about what’s currently developing in several FX...

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