by Ryan Littlestone | May 29th, 2020, 14:16:57 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from 4X Global Research While the United States and China have not gone as far as re-introducing or increasing tariffs on each others’ imports, the war of words between the two trading superpowers has clearly...
by Ryan Littlestone | May 22nd, 2020, 13:49:38 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) – From 4X Global Research Global GDP growth, in year-on-year terms, slowed to -2.7% in Q12020 from +3.1% in Q4 2019 and in quarter-on-quarter terms to -4.5% from +0.6% in Q4, based on growth rates in 14 major...
by Ryan Littlestone | April 29th, 2020, 11:58:24 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from 4X Global Research The BEA will release tomorrow its first estimate of US GDP growth in Q1. Consensus estimate for the quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted annualised rate of growth is -4.0%. If correct this...
by Ryan Littlestone | April 27th, 2020, 15:36:51 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from 4X Global research Forecasts of the scale of a likely global economic recession and the shape of the recovery often give little thought to the economic variables being measured or their timeliness. Based on 4X...
by Ryan Littlestone | April 14th, 2020, 11:32:32 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) – 4X Global Research The consensus forecast is that GDP contracted in many major economies in Q1 and will most definitely contract in Q2 as a result of the negative impact of national lockdowns on supply and demand....
by Ryan Littlestone | March 30th, 2020, 19:07:31 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy from 4X Global We argued in Lack of US market & macro volatility both reassuring and troubling (17 January) that “the market’s willingness to look through domestic political and geopolitical events suggests that only a...
