The bond moves explained and what it means for FX

The bond moves explained and what it means for FX

The simple answer is often the best answer We’ve been scratching our heads a bit in our trading room over the bond moves (and others) in recent days. Is it falling Central bank expectations, or fearing a top in inflation, problems over the next US stimulus...
Virus, volatility and valuations

Virus, volatility and valuations

4X Global Research Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) – 27 February 2020 In reaction to the coronavirus epidemic governments across the world have enacted measures unprecedented in recent decades, including closing national borders, setting up...
Virus, volatility and valuations

Depressed FX volatility allows for few surprises

Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy – 4X Global Global FX volatility has fallen further in the past month to its lowest level since September 2014 according to our estimate (see Figure 1). Volatility in most major currencies has either fallen or only...

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