by Ryan Littlestone | June 27th, 2019, 16:14:09 | Research
4X Global Research – Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) – 26 June 2019 It is now three years since the referendum on 23rd June 2016 in which 52% of the British electorate voted for the UK to exit the EU. The issue of whether, when and how the UK...
by Ryan Littlestone | June 7th, 2019, 14:18:47 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) 7 June 2019 We noted in “Renminbi depreciation – Case of déjà vu” (16 May 2019) that the Renminbi’s performance since early March had been very similar to that of May-June 2018 and that if, as we expected, history was...
by Ryan Littlestone | May 20th, 2019, 13:18:31 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) The Renminbi Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER), which had appreciated 3.5% in the two months up to 5 March 2019 and then traded in a narrow 1% range in the following two months, has since 2 May depreciated 2.1%...
by Ryan Littlestone | April 18th, 2019, 18:05:18 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) – 18 April 2019 Much has happened in the past two months and yet the UK finds itself in a similar situation as in mid-October 2018 when it had just over five months to get a deal through parliament before its...
by Ryan Littlestone | March 8th, 2019, 17:37:34 | Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) – 08 March 2019 The House of Commons (HoC), the lower house of parliament, will on 12th March hold a legally-binding vote on whether to approve Prime Minister May’s draft Brexit deal – the Withdrawal Agreement and...