Research

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The beatings will continue until morale improves

The beatings will continue until morale improves

Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from 4X Global Research ·         The Dollar remains range bound, with the Nominal Effective Exchange Rate stuck in a 1.5% wide-range since early August, in line with our view. ·         Market pricing of Fed hikes in...

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Morgan Stanley cut JPY forecasts

Morgan Stanley cut JPY forecasts

The latest weekly report from Morgan Stanley sees a short-tern change in  their view of JPY USDJPY Q3 2018 113 vs 104 prior Q4 2018 108 vs 101 prior Q1 2019 104 vs 98 prior Q2 100 vs 96 prior Q3 95 unch Q4 93 unch EURJPY Q3 2018 128 vs 118 prior Q4 124 vs 116 prior Q1...

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The beatings will continue until morale improves

A final twist in the Brexit plot?

Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from 4X Global Research In principle, the United Kingdom (UK) will officially cease to be a member of the European Union (EU) on 29th March 2019, regardless of whether: 1. The UK and EU reach agreement on the terms...

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The beatings will continue until morale improves

Lira collapse post-mortem: Contagion lite

Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from Olivier Desbarres at 4X Global Research 17 August 2018 Since 5th August the Turkish Lira is down about 17% versus the Dollar and 15% in nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) terms and the concern remains that...

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The beatings will continue until morale improves

Every which way but tight

Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from Olivier Desbarres at 4X Global Research Developed and emerging market central banks have started to “normalise” monetary policy, albeit at a slow pace. However, they have been largely powerless to deal with the...

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The beatings will continue until morale improves

What’s driving EM and commodity currencies?

Some food for thought on the next possible direction for Trump's trade shake up ING talk about trade in one of their latest notes; Will the White House take their trade war into the currency arena? One of the bigger risks specific to FX markets in the near-term is...

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The beatings will continue until morale improves

Trading Places – 4X Global Research

Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) from Olivier Desbarres at 4X Global Research 13 April 2018 Currency volatility remains subdued and European currencies, the Chinese Renminbi and even the Brazilian Real and South African Rand, have done little...

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