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Here’s where we’re at with Brexit

The latest on Brexit 16 October 2019 Lots of fuss being made about whether the DUP and ERG are onboard with Boris's plan but; Nowhere has it been confirmed that the DUP's mention of "gaps" means it's gaps between it and the government, and not gov & the EU. Boris...

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US consumer – From King to Prince

Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) 8 October 2019 It is perhaps obvious that Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) or consumer demand is critical to US economic growth. PCE growth has accounted for over 80% of US real GDP growth since end-2013 (see...

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Here’s why I’m starting to build longs in GBP

Brexit is fast approaching another crunch point and many roads point North for the pound Trading GBP has been like trying a bucking Bronco machine on full power. I've been loathed to do anything more than scalp the odd headline, or take a position on a clear path into...

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It’s Fed’s meditation time

Short, sweet FOMC preview 18.09.2019. What do we expect from today's meeting: 25bps cut done. No immediate QE but leaving the door open. IOER cut: depending on where the Fed puts it between the Fed funds posts will be our barometer for their worries. the closer they...

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Here’s how to trade the ECB

Forex trading preview of the September 2019 ECB meeting Here we are at one of the most anticipated ECB meetings for a long while. Rate cut expectations stand at 100%, with a 10bp cut at 66.8% and a 20bp cut at 33.2%. Restarting QE expectations range from 30-50bn a...

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Brexit is back with a bang

We take a look at the latest trades in GBP as Brexit comes to the fore once more https://youtu.be/_iZLCcXjbaQ In you missed it, here's Part 1 from last week https://youtu.be/6kE22lw9RPo

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A trader’s view: MXN – Indices – Metals

A great analysis piece by ForexFlow platform member Jorge Celio MXN My main driver on MXN has and continue to be Remittances. The slow down makes me nervous. In terms of positioning will have a cautiously approach. I would be a seller of EURMXN on any EUR strength. ...

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Forex options expiries 19 August 2019

Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 19 August 2019 EURUSD is hanging around the larger of its expiries today so we may not be straying far given the range so far today. The options landscape in general is looking quite sparse as we're in the...

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Forex options expiries 16 August 2019

Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 16 August 2019 The last day of the week in what has been a fairly quiet one in the options universe. There's an element of summer trading here so we'll have to wait until things pick up.

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Forex options expiries 14 August 2019

Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 14 August 2019 105.80-106.00 might be in play in the coming hour or so but with risk looking less than favourable, we'll have to see how things progress early in the US day.

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USDJPY plays ball at 105.00

With the new week kicking off with some hefty risk aversion, here's how we at ForexFlow have traded it As you'll see from the video we highlighted the big support picture at 105.00 in USDJPY and had trade set ups for trading it both ways. Not long after the video, we...

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China went and did it!!

US & China trade war skirts close to the cliff edge as USDCNH and USDCNY smash through the big 7.00 level. Here's what to watch for over the next few sessions As we digest the fall out from the next chapter of the US/China trade war we need to be on watch for what...

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Forex options expiries 5 August 2019

Forex options expiring at the 10am (14.00 GMT) New York cut 5 august 2019 A fairly quiet start to the week. What is of note is the lack of downside coverage in many of the majors this week (and has been a feature for a while on the options landscape). That's going to...

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