Your simple guide to the UK election
Here's the easy way to trade the election While the rest of the world try to bamboozle and confuse you with paragraphs of pointless details, drivel and analysis, throwing up maps and lists of seats and what might happen, we at ForexFlow like to take the simple...
A warning for the UK MRP poll everyone is becoming fixated about
GBP traders are zeroing in on the YouGov/Times MRP poll coming tonight. Here's why caution is needed. So, the next big bone to chew for GBP traders is apparently an opinion poll. Why's this one so special? Well, apparently it "predicted" the 2017 election. Let's...
Trading the options action in EURUSD: Part 4 – Profit taken, rinse and repeat?
We've closed the door on our EURUSD strategy with good profit but are we good to go again? If you've been following this EURUSD trade mini-series, you'll know that we've been plotting and planning a trade around an options startegy in play in the wider market. This...
A mildly positive risk market on the open?
The weekend press headlines. Good Sunday evening, Monday morning fellow FX traders. -Give an take a bit of political banter, it seems the weekend got a little better as it progressed from China's political banter at the WTO yesterday into tighter IP protection rules...
Norway says there won’t be car tariffs coming from the US
Norwegian Minister confirms no car tariffs from the US Donald Trump was supposed to announce plans for tariffs on cars across the European continent last week but failed to do so. The market has been waiting to see if there would be any, or whether they would be...
Here’s what you need to know about the UK election and what it means for Brexit and GBP
Your guide to the numbers game for the UK election and how that could affect Brexit and GBP An election has been called for 12th December and while we go through the speedy campaign motions, Brexit is on hold (barring any surprises from any party). This puts us into...
Here’s why traders should consider a market squawk service
It's now become impossible to live without a squawk service I could not live without my squawk service now. When I came back to full-time trading back in 2010 I needed to get access to as many news sources as possible but I had previously shied away from squawks...
Here’s why I’m starting to build longs in GBP
Brexit is fast approaching another crunch point and many roads point North for the pound Trading GBP has been like trying a bucking Bronco machine on full power. I've been loathed to do anything more than scalp the odd headline, or take a position on a clear path into...
“Currency wars” not central banks’ end-game – 4X Global Research
Fixed Income Research & Macro Strategy (FIRMS) – 12 September 2019 Not a day passes without the media and US President Trump pointing the finger at “currency wars” and “competitive devaluations”. The thrust of the argument is that central banks across the world,...
Here’s how to trade the ECB
Forex trading preview of the September 2019 ECB meeting Here we are at one of the most anticipated ECB meetings for a long while. Rate cut expectations stand at 100%, with a 10bp cut at 66.8% and a 20bp cut at 33.2%. Restarting QE expectations range from 30-50bn a...
Your quick trading guide to the ECB
It's nearly time for the main event of the day, the ECB meeting,so here's a quick guide to trading it it's going to be very difficult to grab a trade unless we decipher the details very quickly. There's going to be three stages. 1. Announcement - Cut, no cut, what's...
What level of perfection is the Fed actually seeking?
Has Fed's Powell all but confirmed an interest rate cut? Now I'm really torn over the Fed. Having slept on it and reflected, it really does look like they're ready to cut, and are looking for an excuse to do so. The way Powell played down the labour market was the...
Who actually wants to buy negative bonds and why?
Who feels the need to pay governments to hold their money? It's one thing to point at the bond market and scream that it's flagging problems about the economy but what is really behind the moves, and why do people buy bonds to only to pay the issuer to hold their...
Can you feel the shifting winds in markets?
Since the US & China kiss-and-make up at the G20, things have shifted in markets On Monday we highlighted a potential problem brewing for markets following the upbeat feelings from the G20. FX and stocks were cheering but the bond market wasn't....
This week is an apt reminder that the market is bigger than all of us
A review of trading this big Fed week There's not been much time this week for updating trades on the website because it's been very busy in the trading room so I wanted to give an update of things here and to also talk about the current market dynamics. I've not been...
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